Vancouver Whitecaps FC — FC Dallas: Win probabilities, 23.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 85.2% |
| 12 | 80.3% | |
| X2 | 34.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 62.2% / 37.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.2% / 3.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 87.8% / 12.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 68.8% / 31.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 47.4% / 52.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 28.4% / 71.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 14.9% / 85.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 23.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.08.2026 home Houston Dynamo 0:1
- 17.08.2026 away Seattle Sounders 2:0
- 02.08.2026 home Los Angeles FC 1:1
- 26.07.2026 away Minnesota United 0:0
- 23.07.2026 away FC Cincinnati 3:4
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.08.2026 away Real Salt Lake 4:3
- 17.08.2026 away Austin FC 2:1
- 02.08.2026 away Los Angeles Galaxy 0:0
- 26.07.2026 away San Diego FC 0:1
- 23.07.2026 away Portland Timbers 2:2
This season: Vancouver Whitecaps FC at home vs FC Dallas away
| Metric | Vancouver Whitecaps FC · at home | FC Dallas · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 10 | 11 |
| W–D–L | 7–1–2 | 6–2–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.20 | 1.82 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.60 | 1.18 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 64% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 55% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 14.05.2026 FC Dallas 2:3 Vancouver Whitecaps FC
- 02.11.2025 FC Dallas 1:1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC
- 26.10.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 3:0 FC Dallas
- 19.10.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 1:2 FC Dallas
- 16.03.2025 FC Dallas 0:1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC
- 08.09.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 0:0 FC Dallas
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Vancouver Whitecaps FC hold the clearer overall edge heading into this MLS meeting with FC Dallas, although the moderate confidence level suggests that the difference should not be overstated. The home side are the stronger option in the available assessment, with home advantage adding weight to their position. FC Dallas nevertheless retain enough attacking potential to make the contest competitive rather than one-sided.
The game is projected to have a high-scoring character, and both teams are considered likely to find the net. That points towards an open match in which defensive control may be tested repeatedly, particularly if either side scores early. Vancouver Whitecaps FC appear better placed to turn the attacking exchanges into a positive result, but FC Dallas should have opportunities to respond. Overall, the balance favours the hosts, while the scoring outlook indicates a match that could remain lively throughout.
What matters before kick-off
FC Dallas completes three games in seven days
The road fixture against Vancouver Whitecaps at BC Place wraps up a stretch of three matches in seven days for FC Dallas.
Vancouver's recent result
Vancouver Whitecaps suffered a 1-0 home loss against Houston Dynamo FC at BC Place on August 19, 2026.
Vancouver Whitecaps player availability
In the official MLS player status report for August 22–23, 2026, Vancouver Whitecaps listed Ranko Veselinovic, Kwasi Poku, Belal Halbouni, Jeevan Badwal, and Kenji Cabrera among players out injured.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.