Nashville SC — Columbus Crew: Win probabilities, 23.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 80.8% |
| 12 | 76.3% | |
| X2 | 42.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.3% / 42.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.1% / 5.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.4% / 18.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 58.2% / 41.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 35.8% / 64.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 18.8% / 81.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.6% / 91.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 23.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.08.2026 away New York Red Bulls 1:0
- 16.08.2026 home Inter Miami 4:1
- 02.08.2026 away DC United 2:2
- 26.07.2026 away Orlando City 0:1
- 23.07.2026 home CF Montreal 1:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.08.2026 home CF Montreal 1:2
- 16.08.2026 away Charlotte 1:3
- 02.08.2026 away Inter Miami 2:2
- 26.07.2026 home FC Cincinnati 2:1
- 23.07.2026 home New York City 1:2
This season: Nashville SC at home vs Columbus Crew away
| Metric | Nashville SC · at home | Columbus Crew · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 10 | 10 |
| W–D–L | 9–1–0 | 1–3–6 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.90 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 90% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 90% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 14.03.2026 Columbus Crew 0:1 Nashville SC
- 17.07.2025 Nashville SC 3:0 Columbus Crew
- 29.05.2025 Columbus Crew 2:2 Nashville SC
- 03.07.2024 Columbus Crew 2:0 Nashville SC
- 31.03.2024 Nashville SC 2:2 Columbus Crew
- 25.06.2023 Columbus Crew 2:0 Nashville SC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Nashville SC have a slight edge over Columbus Crew in this MLS meeting, although the low confidence level points to a fairly open assessment rather than a decisive advantage. The home side may be better placed to control the match, but Columbus Crew remain capable of making the contest competitive, especially if they can maintain pressure in key areas.
The scoring outlook is medium-scoring, suggesting a match with several opportunities without pointing to an especially high total. Whether both teams find the net is difficult to separate, with that possibility effectively balanced. Nashville SC could benefit from home advantage, but the most plausible scenarios still include a narrow home win or a draw. Overall, this looks like a close fixture in which small details, such as finishing efficiency and defensive concentration, may determine the outcome.
What matters before kick-off
MLS Regular Season Matchup
Nashville SC hosts Columbus Crew at GEODIS Park in a Matchday 22 Eastern Conference regular season clash.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.