Vancouver Whitecaps FC — Austin FC: Win probabilities, 13.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 90.2% |
| 12 | 86.9% | |
| X2 | 22.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 54.6% / 45.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 97.9% / 2.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 87.5% / 12.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 70.7% / 29.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 49.6% / 50.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 30.4% / 69.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 16.3% / 83.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 13.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 10.09.2026 home Los Angeles Galaxy 3:0
- 06.09.2026 home St. Louis City 1:3
- 30.08.2026 away Sporting Kansas City 3:0
- 23.08.2026 home FC Dallas 5:0
- 20.08.2026 home Houston Dynamo 0:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 10.09.2026 home Colorado Rapids 1:1
- 06.09.2026 home San Jose Earthquakes 1:1
- 30.08.2026 away Portland Timbers 2:1
- 23.08.2026 home Philadelphia Union 1:1
- 20.08.2026 away Seattle Sounders 2:1
This season: Vancouver Whitecaps FC at home vs Austin FC away
| Metric | Vancouver Whitecaps FC · at home | Austin FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 13 | 12 |
| W–D–L | 9–1–3 | 2–3–7 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.38 | 1.17 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.69 | 2.58 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 92% |
| Both teams scored | 31% | 67% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 18.05.2025 Austin FC 0:0 Vancouver Whitecaps FC
- 13.04.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 5:1 Austin FC
- 01.09.2024 Austin FC 0:1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC
- 05.05.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 0:0 Austin FC
- 13.07.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 2:1 Austin FC
- 16.04.2023 Austin FC 0:0 Vancouver Whitecaps FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Vancouver Whitecaps FC enter this MLS meeting with the clearer overall advantage over Austin FC. The assessment points to the hosts being clearly stronger, with a high level of confidence behind that view. Their position suggests a match in which Vancouver Whitecaps FC should control more of the important phases, particularly if they can impose their attacking rhythm early and limit Austin FC’s opportunities to respond.
The expected character of the contest is relatively open, with a high-scoring game more likely than a cautious, low-tempo encounter. However, whether both teams find the net is less certain, making that aspect of the match difficult to separate confidently. Austin FC will need to remain disciplined without the ball and make efficient use of their attacking moments, while Vancouver Whitecaps FC have the stronger platform to dictate the outcome. Overall, the balance favors the hosts, with a result built around Vancouver Whitecaps FC’s attacking superiority.
What matters before kick-off
Myrto Uzuni ruled out for Austin FC
Austin FC forward Myrto Uzuni is sidelined for the match against Vancouver Whitecaps FC due to a lower body injury.
Recent midweek results for both teams
Vancouver Whitecaps FC enter Sunday's clash following a 3-0 home win over LA Galaxy, while Austin FC drew 1-1 with Colorado Rapids on Wednesday.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.