Real Salt Lake — New York City FC: Win probabilities, 13.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 73.1% |
| 12 | 73.9% | |
| X2 | 52.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 61.8% / 38.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.0% / 6.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 82.5% / 17.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 59.2% / 40.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 36.9% / 63.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 19.7% / 80.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.1% / 90.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 13.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 10.09.2026 away Houston Dynamo 1:2
- 06.09.2026 home Los Angeles FC 2:2
- 30.08.2026 away Colorado Rapids 0:1
- 23.08.2026 away Orlando City 1:2
- 20.08.2026 home FC Dallas 3:4
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 10.09.2026 home New England Revolution 1:2
- 05.09.2026 home Nashville SC 0:0
- 30.08.2026 away Toronto FC 1:1
- 23.08.2026 away New England Revolution 1:1
- 20.08.2026 away FC Cincinnati 1:2
This season: Real Salt Lake at home vs New York City FC away
| Metric | Real Salt Lake · at home | New York City FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 11 | 11 |
| W–D–L | 7–2–2 | 3–4–4 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.18 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.36 | 1.18 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 36% |
| Both teams scored | 73% | 73% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 11.06.2023 Real Salt Lake 0:0 New York City FC
- 17.04.2022 New York City FC 6:0 Real Salt Lake
- 04.08.2019 Real Salt Lake 3:1 New York City FC
- 12.04.2018 New York City FC 4:0 Real Salt Lake
- 18.05.2017 Real Salt Lake 2:1 New York City FC
- 03.06.2016 New York City FC 2:3 Real Salt Lake
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Real Salt Lake have a moderate, slight edge over New York City FC, with the home setting providing the main reason to lean toward the hosts. The assessment is not decisive, however, and the overall outlook leaves room for a draw or an away result. The most balanced expectation is that Real Salt Lake will avoid defeat, rather than that the match has a clearly defined winner.
The game is projected to be open and high-scoring, with both Real Salt Lake and New York City FC likely to find the net. That points toward an entertaining contest in which defensive control may be difficult to maintain for either side. The scoreline possibilities reflect that uncertainty, ranging from 1-1 to narrow wins by either team. Real Salt Lake hold the slight advantage, but New York City FC remain capable of making the match competitive if they convert their attacking opportunities.
What matters before kick-off
Real Salt Lake player availability status
According to the MLS Player Status Report for September 12, 2026, Real Salt Lake have Zach Booth, Griffin Dillon, Lukas Engel, Justen Glad, and Diego Luna listed as out, while Sam Junqua and Stijn Spierings are questionable.
Real Salt Lake schedule and recent result
Real Salt Lake return to America First Field for the second of four consecutive home Saturday fixtures in September. In their previous match on September 10, Pablo Mastroeni's side suffered a 2-1 away defeat against Houston Dynamo.
New York City FC recent result
In their preceding MLS regular season outing on September 10, New York City FC suffered a 2-1 defeat at home against New England Revolution.
Real Salt Lake home head-to-head record against NYCFC
Real Salt Lake hold a strong home record against New York City FC in Sandy, with 10 wins, 2 losses, and 3 draws.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.