Sporting Kansas City — Los Angeles FC: Win probabilities, 13.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 46.3% |
| 12 | 75.6% | |
| X2 | 78.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 63.3% / 36.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.7% / 5.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 85.2% / 14.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 63.4% / 36.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 41.3% / 58.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 23.2% / 76.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.3% / 88.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 13.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 away FC Dallas 3:4
- 30.08.2026 home Vancouver Whitecaps 0:3
- 24.08.2026 away Atlanta Utd 1:2
- 20.08.2026 home St. Louis City 1:1
- 16.08.2026 away Colorado Rapids 0:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 10.09.2026 home New York Red Bulls 2:0
- 06.09.2026 away Real Salt Lake 2:2
- 30.08.2026 away DC United 0:0
- 23.08.2026 home Portland Timbers 1:1
- 20.08.2026 away Colorado Rapids 0:1
This season: Sporting Kansas City at home vs Los Angeles FC away
| Metric | Sporting Kansas City · at home | Los Angeles FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 11 | 12 |
| W–D–L | 2–3–6 | 3–5–4 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.09 | 1.25 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.91 | 1.08 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 73% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 26.07.2026 Los Angeles FC 4:0 Sporting Kansas City
- 09.06.2025 Los Angeles FC 3:1 Sporting Kansas City
- 23.03.2025 Sporting Kansas City 0:2 Los Angeles FC
- 06.10.2024 Sporting Kansas City 0:3 Los Angeles FC
- 10.03.2024 Los Angeles FC 0:0 Sporting Kansas City
- 18.06.2023 Sporting Kansas City 1:2 Los Angeles FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Sporting Kansas City face Los Angeles FC in an MLS match where the visitors hold a slight edge, although the moderate confidence level suggests a competitive contest rather than a one-sided affair. The available signals point toward an open game, with both teams likely to find the net and the overall scoring pattern expected to be relatively high.
Los Angeles FC appear better placed to claim the stronger result, but Sporting Kansas City remain capable of contributing to the scoreline. The suggested outcomes include a draw as well as victories for Los Angeles FC, which reflects some uncertainty around the final result. A match shaped by chances at both ends is the clearest expectation, with 1-1 and 1-2 among the plausible scorelines.
What matters before kick-off
Los Angeles FC injury updates
Los Angeles FC ruled out Thomas Hasal, Ryan Porteous and Timothy Tillman due to injury ahead of their match against Sporting Kansas City.
Los Angeles FC entering on a strong defensive run
Los Angeles FC head into the clash following a 2-0 midweek win over New York Red Bulls, extending their unbeaten streak to four games and setting a club record with 13 MLS clean sheets this season.
Sporting Kansas City team news
Sporting Kansas City host the match following a 4-3 defeat to FC Dallas, during which on-loan forward Seymour Reid made his club debut as a second-half substitute.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.