Inter Miami CF — Nashville SC: Win probabilities, 12.09.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 70.3% |
| 12 | 77.0% | |
| X2 | 52.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 71.5% / 28.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.6% / 3.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 89.5% / 10.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 71.8% / 28.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 51.0% / 49.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 31.6% / 68.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 17.3% / 82.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Inter Miami CF host Nashville SC in an MLS meeting that appears finely balanced, with a slight edge for the home side. The available assessment points toward an open contest rather than a cautious one, and the scoring outlook suggests that both teams are likely to find the net. That should create a match shaped by attacking intent, with neither side expected to rely solely on defensive control.
The central question is whether Inter Miami CF can turn home advantage into enough additional pressure to separate the teams. Nashville SC remain close enough in the assessment to make a draw or an away win plausible, so the margin between the sides looks narrow. The most consistent reading is a high-scoring game in which both teams have opportunities, with 1-1 and 2-1 among the likely scorelines, while 1-2 also reflects the competitive nature of the matchup.
What matters before kick-off
MLS Playoff Race
Nashville SC can secure a spot in the Audi MLS Cup Playoffs with a victory over Inter Miami CF.
Nashville's 2026 Head-to-Head Advantage
In 2026, Nashville SC eliminated Inter Miami from the CONCACAF Champions Cup Round of 16 on away goals and defeated them 4-1 in their August MLS regular season clash.
Nashville's Away Stretch
The match in Florida against Inter Miami CF closes a three-game road stretch for Nashville SC.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.