Inter Miami CF — Nashville SC: Win probabilities, 12.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 71.3% |
| 12 | 77.1% | |
| X2 | 51.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 72.2% / 27.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.7% / 3.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 90.2% / 9.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 72.8% / 27.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 52.3% / 47.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 32.9% / 67.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 18.2% / 81.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 12.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 10.09.2026 away Chicago Fire 1:1
- 06.09.2026 home Atlanta Utd 2:2
- 30.08.2026 home CF Montreal 7:1
- 23.08.2026 home Toronto FC 1:2
- 20.08.2026 away Philadelphia Union 2:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 10.09.2026 away Toronto FC 1:2
- 05.09.2026 away New York City 0:0
- 30.08.2026 home FC Cincinnati 4:0
- 23.08.2026 home Columbus Crew 3:2
- 20.08.2026 away New York Red Bulls 1:0
This season: Inter Miami CF at home vs Nashville SC away
| Metric | Inter Miami CF · at home | Nashville SC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 11 | 12 |
| W–D–L | 4–5–2 | 5–4–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.82 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 0.58 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 82% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 91% | 25% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 16.08.2026 Nashville SC 4:1 Inter Miami CF
- 09.11.2025 Inter Miami CF 4:0 Nashville SC
- 01.11.2025 Nashville SC 2:1 Inter Miami CF
- 25.10.2025 Inter Miami CF 3:1 Nashville SC
- 18.10.2025 Nashville SC 2:5 Inter Miami CF
- 13.07.2025 Inter Miami CF 2:1 Nashville SC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Inter Miami CF have a slight edge over Nashville SC in this MLS meeting, although the moderate confidence indicates a contest with limited separation between the sides. The available assessment points toward an open match rather than a cautious one, with both teams likely to find scoring opportunities. That should encourage a game played with attacking intent, particularly if an early goal changes the tactical balance.
The central expectation is a high-scoring encounter in which neither defence can be relied upon to keep a clean sheet. Inter Miami CF may have enough of an advantage to make the difference, but Nashville SC remain capable of staying involved throughout the match. The most plausible score patterns include 1-1, 2-1, and 2-2, reflecting a balance between the home side's slight advantage and the likelihood of goals at both ends.
What matters before kick-off
Inter Miami squad availability
Inter Miami face Nashville SC without injured players Tadeo Allende, Santiago Morales, and Mateo Silvetti.
Nashville SC recent result
Eastern Conference leaders Nashville SC enter the fixture following a 2-1 away defeat against Toronto FC on September 9.
Conference standings context
Inter Miami host Eastern Conference leaders Nashville SC at Nu Stadium, trailing the top spot by nine points heading into the match.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.