FC Dallas — Portland Timbers: Win probabilities, 13.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 78.7% |
| 12 | 76.8% | |
| X2 | 44.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 70.3% / 29.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.8% / 4.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 90.5% / 9.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 72.1% / 27.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 51.4% / 48.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 32.0% / 68.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 17.6% / 82.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 13.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 10.09.2026 away Minnesota United 2:1
- 06.09.2026 home Sporting Kansas City 4:3
- 31.08.2026 away St. Louis City 3:3
- 23.08.2026 away Vancouver Whitecaps 0:5
- 20.08.2026 away Real Salt Lake 4:3
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 10.09.2026 home St. Louis City 2:2
- 06.09.2026 home Minnesota United 5:4
- 30.08.2026 home Austin FC 1:2
- 23.08.2026 away Los Angeles FC 1:1
- 20.08.2026 home San Diego FC 3:1
This season: FC Dallas at home vs Portland Timbers away
| Metric | FC Dallas · at home | Portland Timbers · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 10 | 11 |
| W–D–L | 4–4–2 | 2–2–7 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.20 | 1.36 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.90 | 1.91 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 55% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 64% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 23.07.2026 Portland Timbers 2:2 FC Dallas
- 28.09.2025 Portland Timbers 2:2 FC Dallas
- 10.08.2025 FC Dallas 2:0 Portland Timbers
- 07.10.2024 Portland Timbers 0:0 FC Dallas
- 05.07.2024 FC Dallas 3:2 Portland Timbers
- 12.06.2023 Portland Timbers 1:0 FC Dallas
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
FC Dallas meet Portland Timbers in an MLS match that projects as a competitive contest with a slight edge for the hosts. The available assessment gives FC Dallas the stronger position, although the moderate confidence indicates that the difference between the teams is not decisive. Portland Timbers remain well placed to challenge, particularly in a match expected to remain open rather than being controlled by one side throughout.
The main signal points toward both teams finding the net, with the overall scoring outlook described as high-scoring. That suggests the match could develop through attacking phases at both ends, placing importance on how well each defence manages transitions and sustained pressure. A draw remains a credible possibility, while a narrow FC Dallas victory also fits the assessment. The likely scorelines reflect that balance, ranging from 1:1 to home wins by one or two goals.
What matters before kick-off
Osaze Urhoghide suspended
FC Dallas defender Osaze Urhoghide is suspended for the match against Portland after receiving a yellow card in their midweek fixture against Minnesota United.
David Da Costa out in concussion protocol
Portland Timbers attacker David Da Costa has entered concussion protocol following a head injury against St. Louis and is ruled out for the match against FC Dallas.
FC Dallas coming off midweek victory
FC Dallas enter Saturday's game seeking a third consecutive victory after securing a 2-1 away win against Minnesota United on September 9.
Strong home record for FC Dallas against Portland
FC Dallas boast an 11-1-5 record against the Portland Timbers in all-time home matches at Toyota Stadium.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.