San Jose Earthquakes — Houston Dynamo: Win probabilities, 13.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 66.3% |
| 12 | 72.5% | |
| X2 | 61.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 63.2% / 36.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.6% / 6.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 82.9% / 17.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 59.2% / 40.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 36.8% / 63.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 19.6% / 80.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.1% / 90.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 13.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 10.09.2026 away San Diego FC 3:2
- 06.09.2026 away Austin FC 1:1
- 30.08.2026 away Houston Dynamo 0:0
- 23.08.2026 home Minnesota United 1:5
- 20.08.2026 away Los Angeles Galaxy 0:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 10.09.2026 home Real Salt Lake 2:1
- 06.09.2026 away Charlotte 0:0
- 30.08.2026 home San Jose Earthquakes 0:0
- 23.08.2026 away St. Louis City 1:2
- 20.08.2026 away Vancouver Whitecaps 1:0
This season: San Jose Earthquakes at home vs Houston Dynamo away
| Metric | San Jose Earthquakes · at home | Houston Dynamo · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 11 | 12 |
| W–D–L | 4–2–5 | 5–2–5 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.73 | 1.42 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.73 | 1.58 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 42% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 42% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 30.08.2026 Houston Dynamo 0:0 San Jose Earthquakes
- 24.08.2025 Houston Dynamo 1:2 San Jose Earthquakes
- 25.05.2025 San Jose Earthquakes 3:3 Houston Dynamo
- 18.07.2024 San Jose Earthquakes 0:1 Houston Dynamo
- 31.03.2024 Houston Dynamo 2:1 San Jose Earthquakes
- 22.06.2023 Houston Dynamo 4:1 San Jose Earthquakes
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
San Jose Earthquakes and Houston Dynamo appear evenly matched ahead of their MLS meeting. The available assessment points to a moderate level of confidence, with neither side holding a clearly defined advantage. That suggests a contest likely to be shaped by small margins, tactical discipline, and how effectively each team converts its chances.
The match is projected to be medium-scoring, and both teams are likely to find the net. A draw such as 1:1 is a plausible scenario, although narrow wins for either San Jose Earthquakes or Houston Dynamo also fit the overall outlook. The market signal gives some protection to the home side, but it does not remove the possibility of a Houston Dynamo result. Overall, this looks like a balanced fixture in which the game could remain competitive until the final stages.
What matters before kick-off
Felipe Andrade returns from suspension
Houston Dynamo defender Felipe Andrade is available for selection against the San Jose Earthquakes after serving a one-match suspension due to yellow card accumulation.
San Jose Earthquakes win over San Diego
San Jose Earthquakes head into the match following a 3-2 away victory against San Diego FC on September 9, concluding an unbeaten three-game road stretch.
Houston Dynamo victory against Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo FC defeated Real Salt Lake 2-1 on September 9, backed by goals from Guilherme and Mateusz Bogusz.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.