Los Angeles Galaxy — Seattle Sounders: Win probabilities, 13.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 68.5% |
| 12 | 75.1% | |
| X2 | 56.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 68.5% / 31.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.5% / 4.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 87.2% / 12.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 67.0% / 33.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 45.3% / 54.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 26.6% / 73.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 13.6% / 86.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 13.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 10.09.2026 away Vancouver Whitecaps 0:3
- 06.09.2026 home New England Revolution 2:1
- 30.08.2026 away San Diego FC 1:3
- 23.08.2026 away CF Montreal 2:2
- 20.08.2026 home San Jose Earthquakes 1:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 home New York Red Bulls 0:0
- 29.08.2026 home Chicago Fire 2:2
- 23.08.2026 away FC Cincinnati 1:1
- 20.08.2026 home Austin FC 1:2
- 17.08.2026 home Vancouver Whitecaps 0:2
This season: Los Angeles Galaxy at home vs Seattle Sounders away
| Metric | Los Angeles Galaxy · at home | Seattle Sounders · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 12 | 11 |
| W–D–L | 4–4–4 | 3–3–5 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.17 | 0.73 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 27% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 45% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 17.05.2026 Seattle Sounders 0:2 Los Angeles Galaxy
- 14.09.2025 Seattle Sounders 2:2 Los Angeles Galaxy
- 11.08.2025 Los Angeles Galaxy 0:4 Seattle Sounders
- 01.12.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy 1:0 Seattle Sounders
- 05.05.2024 Seattle Sounders 0:0 Los Angeles Galaxy
- 31.03.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy 1:0 Seattle Sounders
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Los Angeles Galaxy have a slight edge over Seattle Sounders in what looks like a fairly open MLS contest. The confidence in that assessment is moderate, so the balance remains delicate rather than decisive. Both sides are expected to contribute on the scoresheet, pointing toward a match shaped by attacking intent and moments of vulnerability at the back.
The overall scoring outlook is high, which makes a narrow home victory, a draw, or a close result in favour of Seattle Sounders all plausible scenarios. Los Angeles Galaxy may have the stronger platform, particularly with home advantage, but Seattle Sounders retain enough threat to keep the game competitive throughout. The central expectation is therefore a lively encounter with chances at both ends, where small details in finishing and defensive concentration could determine the outcome.
What matters before kick-off
Seattle Sounders injury updates
Seattle Sounders face several squad absences for the match, with Pedro de la Vega, Jesús Ferreira, Yeimar Gómez Andrade, and Nikola Petkovic all ruled out due to injuries.
Seattle Sounders winless run
Seattle Sounders enter the match against the LA Galaxy looking to end a franchise-record 11-game winless run in MLS.
Previous meeting this season
In the previous meeting between the clubs earlier this season, LA Galaxy secured a 2-0 win in Seattle on May 16, snapping the Sounders' 22-match home unbeaten streak.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.