Colorado Rapids — CF Montreal: Win probabilities, 13.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 81.9% |
| 12 | 78.2% | |
| X2 | 39.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 59.7% / 40.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.3% / 4.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.1% / 15.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 62.8% / 37.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 40.6% / 59.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 22.6% / 77.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.0% / 89.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 13.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 10.09.2026 away Austin FC 1:1
- 06.09.2026 away Columbus Crew 0:3
- 30.08.2026 home Real Salt Lake 1:0
- 23.08.2026 away San Diego FC 0:3
- 20.08.2026 home Los Angeles FC 1:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 10.09.2026 home Charlotte 1:2
- 06.09.2026 away Philadelphia Union 0:2
- 30.08.2026 away Inter Miami 1:7
- 23.08.2026 home Los Angeles Galaxy 2:2
- 20.08.2026 away Columbus Crew 2:1
This season: Colorado Rapids at home vs CF Montreal away
| Metric | Colorado Rapids · at home | CF Montreal · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 11 | 12 |
| W–D–L | 8–0–3 | 2–1–9 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.91 | 1.25 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.82 | 2.92 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 83% |
| Both teams scored | 36% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 23.06.2024 Colorado Rapids 4:1 CF Montreal
- 04.08.2019 Colorado Rapids 6:3 CF Montreal
- 08.07.2018 CF Montreal 2:1 Colorado Rapids
- 01.10.2017 Colorado Rapids 2:1 CF Montreal
- 30.04.2016 CF Montreal 2:2 Colorado Rapids
- 10.10.2015 Colorado Rapids 0:1 CF Montreal
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Colorado Rapids have a moderate but clear edge over CF Montreal in this MLS meeting. The available assessment points toward the hosts being the stronger side, although the difference is not so substantial that the visitors can be dismissed. Colorado Rapids are therefore likely to approach the match with greater attacking responsibility, while CF Montreal may still find opportunities if they can exploit space during transitions.
The overall outlook is for an open, high-scoring contest rather than a tightly controlled game. Both teams are considered likely to score, which gives CF Montreal a meaningful route into the match even with the balance favouring Colorado Rapids. The main expectation is for the hosts to create enough attacking pressure to prevail, but a draw remains a plausible alternative if CF Montreal make effective use of their chances. The assessment supports an attacking game with goals at both ends, while avoiding a completely one-sided scenario.
What matters before kick-off
Colorado roster updates and new signings
New Colorado Rapids signings Morgan Whittaker and Sayed Abu Farkhi are available for selection for the first time after receiving their P-1 visas. Additionally, defender Vincent Rinaldi was called up on his fourth short-term agreement of the season.
Keegan Rosenberry's milestone
Colorado Rapids defender and captain Keegan Rosenberry recently made his 201st appearance for the club, ranking third-most in franchise history.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.