Valletta FC — RKS Rakow Czestochowa: Win probabilities, 30.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 36.6% |
| 12 | 80.8% | |
| X2 | 82.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 50.7% / 49.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.4% / 4.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 77.6% / 22.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 55.4% / 44.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 33.0% / 67.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 16.8% / 83.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.4% / 92.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Valletta FC face RKS Rakow Czestochowa in a UEFA Conference League qualifying tie that gives the visitors a moderate but clear strength advantage. The assessment points toward an away win, although the level of confidence suggests that Valletta FC remain capable of making the contest competitive, particularly if they can keep the match balanced during its early stages.
The scoring outlook is relatively open, with a high-scoring game considered more likely than a tightly controlled encounter. However, the expectation that both teams will score is evenly balanced, so the match could develop in either direction depending on which side makes better use of its opportunities. The most plausible scorelines are 1-2, 0-2 and 0-1, indicating that RKS Rakow Czestochowa have the stronger position while Valletta FC may still have a route to an effective response. Overall, the visitors hold the clearer edge, but the moderate confidence leaves room for a closer match than the headline assessment suggests.
What matters before kick-off
First-leg result
Rakow Czestochowa defeated Valletta FC 3-1 in the first leg of their UEFA Conference League second qualifying round tie.
Valletta's European return
Valletta FC returned to European competition this season after winning the Maltese FA Trophy last May.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.
