Match intelligence

Valencia CF — Real Betis Seville: Win probabilities, 25.08.2026

League: LaLiga (Spain) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
Valencia CF0
:
1Real Betis Seville
Locked signal X2 Probability 67.4% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 32.6% Home win Valencia CF
X 28.5% Draw
W2 38.9% Away win Real Betis Seville
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1271.5%
Both teams to score
Yes53.2%
Totals 2.5
Under52.7%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X63.7%
1271.5%
X264.8%
Both teams to scoreYes/No53.2% / 46.8%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 91.4% / 8.6%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 73.6% / 26.4%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 47.3% / 52.7%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 25.7% / 74.3%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 11.8% / 88.2%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 4.7% / 95.3%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

Valencia CF × Real Betis Seville
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 8.6%
0:1 9.0%
0:2 6.4%
0:3 2.8%
0:4 0.9%
0:5 0.2%
1
1:0 8.8%
1:1 13.6%
1:2 8.2%
1:3 3.5%
1:4 1.1%
1:5 0.3%
2
2:0 6.2%
2:1 8.0%
2:2 5.2%
2:3 2.2%
2:4 0.7%
2:5 0.2%
3
3:0 2.6%
3:1 3.4%
3:2 2.2%
3:3 1.0%
3:4 0.3%
3:5 0.1%
4
4:0 0.8%
4:1 1.1%
4:2 0.7%
4:3 0.3%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.2%
5:1 0.3%
5:2 0.2%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:113.6%
0:19.0%
1:08.8%
0:08.6%
1:28.2%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 25.08.2026

Valencia CF

13th place · 1 pts after 1

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 22.08.2026 home Celta 0:0
  • 23.05.2026 home Barcelona 3:1
  • 17.05.2026 away Sociedad 4:3
  • 14.05.2026 home Vallecano 1:1
  • 10.05.2026 away Ath Bilbao 1:0

Real Betis Seville

7th place · 3 pts after 1

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 21.08.2026 home Sociedad 1:0
  • 23.05.2026 home Levante 2:1
  • 17.05.2026 away Barcelona 1:3
  • 12.05.2026 home Elche 2:1
  • 09.05.2026 away Sociedad 2:2

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

Valencia CF wins1
Draws2
Real Betis Seville wins3
Goals per match3.17
Both teams scored5/6
Over 2.5 goals4/6
  • 01.02.2026 Real Betis Seville 2:1 Valencia CF
  • 09.11.2025 Valencia CF 1:1 Real Betis Seville
  • 23.05.2025 Real Betis Seville 1:1 Valencia CF
  • 23.11.2024 Valencia CF 4:2 Real Betis Seville
  • 20.04.2024 Valencia CF 1:2 Real Betis Seville
  • 01.10.2023 Real Betis Seville 3:0 Valencia CF

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

Valencia CF and Real Betis Seville appear evenly matched ahead of their LaLiga meeting. The assessment points to a moderate level of confidence, with neither side holding a decisive overall advantage. That suggests a contest likely to be shaped by small tactical details, game management and the ability to turn limited opportunities into goals.

The match is projected to be medium-scoring, while both teams scoring remains difficult to separate. The most plausible scenarios include a balanced draw, a narrow victory for Real Betis Seville, or a goalless stalemate. The market signal gives the visitors some protection against defeat, but this should be viewed as a slight lean rather than a firm prediction. Valencia CF will have a realistic opportunity to control the match, particularly if they can limit the visitors' attacking influence and maintain discipline during key phases.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Opening round results

Valencia opened their LaLiga season with a 0-0 draw against Celta Vigo, while Real Betis kicked off their campaign with a 1-0 win over Real Sociedad.

Availability

Valencia injury update

Valencia defender Justin de Haas is ruled out of the match against Real Betis due to an ankle sprain.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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