Match intelligence

CA Osasuna — Levante UD: Win probabilities, 24.08.2026

League: LaLiga (Spain) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
CA Osasuna0
:
0Levante UD
Locked signal 1X Probability 79.0% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 51.9% Home win CA Osasuna
X 27.1% Draw
W2 21.0% Away win Levante UD
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X79.0%
Both teams to score
Yes50.0%
Totals 2.5
Under53.0%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X79.0%
1272.9%
X248.1%
Both teams to scoreYes/No50.0% / 50.0%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 91.1% / 8.9%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 73.5% / 26.5%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 47.0% / 53.0%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 25.4% / 74.6%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 11.6% / 88.4%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 4.6% / 95.4%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

CA Osasuna × Levante UD
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 8.9%
0:1 6.2%
0:2 3.5%
0:3 1.1%
0:4 0.3%
0:5 0.0%
1
1:0 11.4%
1:1 12.9%
1:2 5.6%
1:3 1.8%
1:4 0.4%
1:5 0.1%
2
2:0 10.1%
2:1 9.5%
2:2 4.5%
2:3 1.4%
2:4 0.3%
2:5 0.1%
3
3:0 5.4%
3:1 5.1%
3:2 2.4%
3:3 0.8%
3:4 0.2%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 2.2%
4:1 2.1%
4:2 1.0%
4:3 0.3%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.7%
5:1 0.7%
5:2 0.3%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:112.9%
1:011.4%
2:010.1%
2:19.5%
0:08.9%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 24.08.2026

CA Osasuna

12th place · 1 pts after 1

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 16.08.2026 away Celta 0:0
  • 23.05.2026 away Getafe 0:1
  • 17.05.2026 home Espanol 1:2
  • 12.05.2026 home Ath Madrid 1:2
  • 08.05.2026 away Levante 2:3

Levante UD

20th place · 0 pts after 1

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 16.08.2026 away Espanol 0:3
  • 23.05.2026 away Betis 1:2
  • 17.05.2026 home Mallorca 2:0
  • 12.05.2026 away Celta 3:2
  • 08.05.2026 home Osasuna 3:2

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

CA Osasuna wins3
Draws1
Levante UD wins2
Goals per match2.67
Both teams scored3/6
Over 2.5 goals3/6
  • 08.05.2026 Levante UD 3:2 CA Osasuna
  • 08.12.2025 CA Osasuna 2:0 Levante UD
  • 19.03.2022 CA Osasuna 3:1 Levante UD
  • 05.12.2021 Levante UD 0:0 CA Osasuna
  • 14.02.2021 Levante UD 0:1 CA Osasuna
  • 27.09.2020 CA Osasuna 1:3 Levante UD

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

CA Osasuna host Levante UD in LaLiga on 24 August, with the available signals pointing to a slight home advantage. The hosts appear better placed to control the match, although the gap is not large enough to rule out a Levante UD response. The overall assessment supports a cautious home-oriented result, with the home side avoiding defeat as the central expectation.

The game is projected to produce a moderate amount of attacking activity rather than an open goal fest. Whether both teams score remains finely balanced, so the match could develop through either a controlled CA Osasuna performance or a more evenly shared contest. The most plausible scorelines are 1-1, 1-0, and 2-0, reflecting both the home edge and the possibility of a relatively tight encounter.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Levante's Previous Match Result

Levante UD suffered a 3-0 defeat away against Espanyol in their LaLiga season opener on August 16, 2026.

Match fact

Osasuna's Home Record Against Levante

CA Osasuna won their last two home LaLiga fixtures against Levante UD at Estadio El Sadar.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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