Malaga CF — RC Deportivo De A Coruna: Win probabilities, 24.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 68.7% |
| 12 | 69.2% | |
| X2 | 62.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 46.9% / 53.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 88.5% / 11.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 67.2% / 32.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 39.5% / 60.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 19.4% / 80.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 8.0% / 92.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.8% / 97.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 24.08.2026
Malaga CF
19th place · 0 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.08.2026 away Ath Madrid 0:2
- 31.05.2026 away Zaragoza 2:0
- 24.05.2026 home Santander 1:1
- 16.05.2026 away Ceuta 4:1
- 09.05.2026 home Sp Gijon 2:1
RC Deportivo De A Coruna
11th place · 1 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.08.2026 home Elche 1:1
- 31.05.2026 home Las Palmas 1:2
- 24.05.2026 away Valladolid 2:0
- 17.05.2026 home Andorra 2:1
- 08.05.2026 away Cadiz 1:0
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 04.04.2026 RC Deportivo De A Coruna 1:1 Malaga CF
- 12.10.2025 Malaga CF 3:0 RC Deportivo De A Coruna
- 11.01.2025 Malaga CF 1:1 RC Deportivo De A Coruna
- 06.10.2024 RC Deportivo De A Coruna 0:0 Malaga CF
- 08.07.2020 Malaga CF 1:0 RC Deportivo De A Coruna
- 20.10.2019 RC Deportivo De A Coruna 0:2 Malaga CF
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Malaga CF and RC Deportivo De A Coruna appear evenly matched ahead of their LaLiga meeting on 24 August 2026. The available assessment points to a moderate level of confidence, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. Home conditions may give Malaga CF a slight practical edge, but the matchup remains finely balanced.
A low-scoring contest is the main expectation, with 1:1, 0:0 and 1:0 among the likely scorelines. Whether both teams find the net is difficult to separate, so the game could develop through cautious phases and limited clear chances. The overall picture favours a result that keeps Malaga CF from defeat, while a draw remains a strong possibility.
What matters before kick-off
Malaga's opening fixture result
In their opening match of the La Liga season, Malaga suffered a 2-0 defeat away against Atletico Madrid after conceding two late goals.
Deportivo's opening match result
Deportivo La Coruna opened their top-flight campaign with a 1-1 home draw against Elche after letting their early lead slip.
Malaga's home record against Deportivo
After losing two of their first four La Liga home matches against Deportivo, Malaga have gone unbeaten in 11 consecutive top-flight home meetings with them (W4, D7).
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.