Malaga CF — RC Deportivo de La Coruna: Win probabilities, 24.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 72.3% |
| 12 | 69.5% | |
| X2 | 58.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 52.9% / 47.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 90.0% / 10.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 73.9% / 26.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 46.3% / 53.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 24.8% / 75.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.3% / 88.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.4% / 95.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 24.08.2026
Malaga CF
19th place · 0 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.08.2026 away Ath Madrid 0:2
- 31.05.2026 away Zaragoza 2:0
- 24.05.2026 home Santander 1:1
- 16.05.2026 away Ceuta 4:1
- 09.05.2026 home Sp Gijon 2:1
RC Deportivo de La Coruna
11th place · 1 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.08.2026 home Elche 1:1
- 31.05.2026 home Las Palmas 1:2
- 24.05.2026 away Valladolid 2:0
- 17.05.2026 home Andorra 2:1
- 08.05.2026 away Cadiz 1:0
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 04.04.2026 RC Deportivo de La Coruna 1:1 Malaga CF
- 12.10.2025 Malaga CF 3:0 RC Deportivo de La Coruna
- 11.01.2025 Malaga CF 1:1 RC Deportivo de La Coruna
- 06.10.2024 RC Deportivo de La Coruna 0:0 Malaga CF
- 08.07.2020 Malaga CF 1:0 RC Deportivo de La Coruna
- 20.10.2019 RC Deportivo de La Coruna 0:2 Malaga CF
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Malaga CF and RC Deportivo de La Coruna appear evenly matched ahead of their LaLiga meeting. The overall assessment carries moderate confidence, with neither side holding a clear advantage in the underlying outlook. That points to a contest where small details and the balance between caution and initiative may be important.
The scoring expectation is medium, while the prospect of both teams finding the net remains finely balanced. A draw is therefore a realistic possibility, although Malaga CF have a slight edge in the combined home-or-draw signal. The most plausible scoreline is 1:1, with a narrow 1:0 home win and a goalless draw also among the leading scenarios. Overall, this looks likely to be a competitive match rather than one shaped by a pronounced difference between the teams.
What matters before kick-off
Opening matchday results in LaLiga
Málaga opened their league campaign with a 2-0 away defeat against Atlético Madrid. Meanwhile, Deportivo La Coruña secured a 1-1 draw at home against Elche.
Head-to-head record
Málaga are unbeaten in their last six encounters against Deportivo La Coruña, recording three victories and three draws.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.