RC Celta de Vigo — CA Osasuna: Win probabilities, 27.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 80.9% |
| 12 | 72.7% | |
| X2 | 46.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 47.0% / 53.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 90.3% / 9.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 71.4% / 28.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 44.4% / 55.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 23.2% / 76.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 10.3% / 89.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 3.9% / 96.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 27.08.2026
RC Celta de Vigo
11th place · 2 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 away Valencia 0:0
- 16.08.2026 home Osasuna 0:0
- 23.05.2026 home Sevilla 1:0
- 17.05.2026 away Ath Bilbao 1:1
- 12.05.2026 home Levante 2:3
CA Osasuna
12th place · 2 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.08.2026 home Levante 0:0
- 16.08.2026 away Celta 0:0
- 23.05.2026 away Getafe 0:1
- 17.05.2026 home Espanol 1:2
- 12.05.2026 home Ath Madrid 1:2
This season: RC Celta de Vigo at home vs CA Osasuna away
| Metric | RC Celta de Vigo · at home | CA Osasuna · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–0 | 0–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 16.08.2026 RC Celta de Vigo 0:0 CA Osasuna
- 06.02.2026 RC Celta de Vigo 1:2 CA Osasuna
- 26.10.2025 CA Osasuna 2:3 RC Celta de Vigo
- 21.02.2025 RC Celta de Vigo 1:0 CA Osasuna
- 01.09.2024 CA Osasuna 3:2 RC Celta de Vigo
- 04.02.2024 CA Osasuna 0:3 RC Celta de Vigo
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
RC Celta de Vigo face CA Osasuna in a contest where the hosts hold a slight edge. The available assessment points towards the home side avoiding defeat, although the gap between the teams is not large enough to suggest a one-sided match. That makes a home win or draw the most credible overall direction, with CA Osasuna still carrying a realistic opportunity to take something from the fixture.
The scoring outlook is medium-scoring rather than strongly open or especially defensive. The likely match pattern leaves room for a narrow RC Celta de Vigo victory, but a draw is also a central possibility. Whether both teams score is difficult to separate, so that aspect should be treated as finely balanced rather than as a clear expectation. Overall, the preview favours RC Celta de Vigo modestly, while CA Osasuna remain close enough in the assessment to keep the outcome competitive.
What matters before kick-off
Match postponed due to pitch condition
The LaLiga matchday 1 fixture between RC Celta de Vigo and CA Osasuna was rescheduled to August 27, 2026, after a fungal outbreak damaged the surface at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos.
Goalless draws in previous league outings
Both teams started their LaLiga campaign with 0-0 draws in their previous match, with RC Celta de Vigo drawing away against Valencia CF and CA Osasuna sharing points with Levante.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.