Match intelligence

Levante UD — Real Betis Seville: Win probabilities, 29.08.2026

League: LaLiga (Spain) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

× Prediction missed
Levante UD5
:
2Real Betis Seville
Locked signal X2 Probability 71.4% Verdict Miss
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 28.6% Home win Levante UD
X 28.6% Draw
W2 42.8% Away win Real Betis Seville
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
X271.4%
Both teams to score
Yes58.6%
Totals 2.5
Over53.7%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X57.2%
1271.4%
X271.4%
Both teams to scoreYes/No58.6% / 41.4%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 92.2% / 7.8%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 79.2% / 20.8%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 53.7% / 46.3%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 31.4% / 68.6%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 15.6% / 84.4%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 6.7% / 93.3%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

Levante UD × Real Betis Seville
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 7.8%
0:1 7.4%
0:2 7.3%
0:3 3.8%
0:4 1.5%
0:5 0.5%
1
1:0 5.5%
1:1 13.6%
1:2 9.2%
1:3 4.8%
1:4 1.9%
1:5 0.6%
2
2:0 4.7%
2:1 7.3%
2:2 5.8%
2:3 3.0%
2:4 1.2%
2:5 0.4%
3
3:0 2.0%
3:1 3.1%
3:2 2.4%
3:3 1.3%
3:4 0.5%
3:5 0.2%
4
4:0 0.6%
4:1 1.0%
4:2 0.8%
4:3 0.4%
4:4 0.2%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.2%
5:1 0.2%
5:2 0.2%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:113.6%
1:29.2%
0:07.8%
0:17.4%
2:17.3%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 29.08.2026

Levante UD

17th place · 1 pts after 2

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 24.08.2026 away Osasuna 0:0
  • 16.08.2026 away Espanol 0:3
  • 23.05.2026 away Betis 1:2
  • 17.05.2026 home Mallorca 2:0
  • 12.05.2026 away Celta 3:2

Real Betis Seville

5th place · 6 pts after 2

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 25.08.2026 away Valencia 1:0
  • 21.08.2026 home Sociedad 1:0
  • 23.05.2026 home Levante 2:1
  • 17.05.2026 away Barcelona 1:3
  • 12.05.2026 home Elche 2:1

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

Levante UD wins1
Draws1
Real Betis Seville wins4
Goals per match4.33
Both teams scored5/6
Over 2.5 goals5/6
  • 23.05.2026 Real Betis Seville 2:1 Levante UD
  • 14.09.2025 Levante UD 2:2 Real Betis Seville
  • 13.02.2022 Levante UD 2:4 Real Betis Seville
  • 28.11.2021 Real Betis Seville 3:1 Levante UD
  • 19.03.2021 Real Betis Seville 2:0 Levante UD
  • 29.12.2020 Levante UD 4:3 Real Betis Seville

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

Levante UD face Real Betis Seville in a LaLiga meeting where the visitors hold a slight edge, although the moderate confidence points to a competitive contest rather than a one-sided match. The available indicators favour Real Betis Seville avoiding defeat, with the overall signal supporting an away win or draw. Levante UD should still have enough attacking potential to remain involved, and the outlook suggests that both teams are likely to score.

The expected character is medium-scoring, with a draw also a credible outcome. A 1:1 scoreline reflects the balance between Levante UD’s capacity to compete at home and Real Betis Seville’s marginal advantage, while 1:2 represents the clearest route to an away victory. The 0:0 possibility indicates that the match could become more cautious than the general scoring outlook suggests. Overall, Real Betis Seville appear slightly better positioned, but the assessment leaves meaningful room for Levante UD to take a point.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Real Betis' early season form

Real Betis started their LaLiga campaign with back-to-back 1-0 victories over Real Sociedad and Valencia.

Schedule

Levante's start to the campaign

Levante picked up just one point from their opening two league matches, suffering a 3-0 loss to Espanyol before drawing 0-0 with Osasuna.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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