RC Deportivo de La Coruna — Valencia CF: Win probabilities, 30.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 69.3% |
| 12 | 67.1% | |
| X2 | 63.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 48.5% / 51.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 87.6% / 12.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 68.8% / 31.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 40.1% / 59.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 19.8% / 80.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 8.2% / 91.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.9% / 97.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 30.08.2026
RC Deportivo de La Coruna
13th place · 2 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.08.2026 away Malaga 1:1
- 17.08.2026 home Elche 1:1
- 31.05.2026 home Las Palmas 1:2
- 24.05.2026 away Valladolid 2:0
- 17.05.2026 home Andorra 2:1
Valencia CF
17th place · 1 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.08.2026 home Betis 0:1
- 22.08.2026 home Celta 0:0
- 23.05.2026 home Barcelona 3:1
- 17.05.2026 away Sociedad 4:3
- 14.05.2026 home Vallecano 1:1
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
RC Deportivo de La Coruna and Valencia CF appear evenly matched ahead of their LaLiga meeting. The available assessment points to a low-scoring contest, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. That balance suggests the match could be shaped by small details, such as which team manages possession more effectively and avoids opening spaces in a cautious game.
The most plausible scenarios include a 1-1 draw, a goalless stalemate, or a narrow 1-0 win for RC Deportivo de La Coruna. Both teams scoring is difficult to separate, so the game may remain tight from start to finish rather than develop into an open exchange. With moderate confidence, the main lean is toward the home team avoiding defeat, while the evenly matched profile keeps a draw firmly in consideration. Valencia CF will still have a realistic opportunity if they can make their limited attacking moments count.
What matters before kick-off
Opening League Form
Deportivo La Coruna started their LaLiga season with back-to-back 1-1 draws against Elche and Malaga. Valencia are also looking for their first victory after a 0-0 draw with Celta Vigo and a 1-0 defeat to Real Betis.
Head-to-Head History
Valencia are undefeated in their last five LaLiga encounters against Deportivo La Coruna, recording three wins and two draws.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.