CA Osasuna — Getafe CF: Win probabilities, 31.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 77.3% |
| 12 | 67.4% | |
| X2 | 55.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 39.7% / 60.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 85.1% / 14.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 60.8% / 39.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 32.4% / 67.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 14.3% / 85.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 5.3% / 94.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 1.7% / 98.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 31.08.2026
CA Osasuna
8th place · 5 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 27.08.2026 away Celta 2:1
- 24.08.2026 home Levante 0:0
- 16.08.2026 away Celta 0:0
- 23.05.2026 away Getafe 0:1
- 17.05.2026 home Espanol 1:2
Getafe CF
13th place · 3 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 home Santander 1:0
- 15.08.2026 away Alaves 0:3
- 23.05.2026 home Osasuna 1:0
- 17.05.2026 away Elche 0:1
- 13.05.2026 home Mallorca 3:1
This season: CA Osasuna at home vs Getafe CF away
| Metric | CA Osasuna · at home | Getafe CF · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–0 | 0–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.67 | 0.24 |
| xG against per match | 1.31 | 1.93 |
| Shots on target per match | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| Corners per match | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 23.05.2026 Getafe CF 1:0 CA Osasuna
- 03.10.2025 CA Osasuna 2:1 Getafe CF
- 16.03.2025 CA Osasuna 1:2 Getafe CF
- 05.10.2024 Getafe CF 1:1 CA Osasuna
- 21.01.2024 CA Osasuna 3:2 Getafe CF
- 17.09.2023 Getafe CF 3:2 CA Osasuna
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA Osasuna go into this LaLiga meeting with a slight but meaningful edge over Getafe CF. The assessment points toward a match in which the home side is more likely to avoid defeat, with the draw remaining a realistic outcome. That gives CA Osasuna the stronger overall position, although the margin between the teams is not expected to produce an open or one-sided contest.
The game is projected to be low-scoring, with limited room for either attack to establish sustained superiority. A clean sheet is considered likely, which further supports a cautious reading of the fixture and makes defensive organisation particularly important. Getafe CF may be able to keep the contest close, but the available signals favour CA Osasuna in the combined home win or draw outcome. The most plausible pattern is therefore a tight match decided by small details, with a narrow home advantage rather than a confident expectation of a clear victory.
What matters before kick-off
Getafe qualified for Conference League phase
Getafe CF secured their place in the UEFA Conference League phase after defeating Partizan Belgrade 4-3 on aggregate, despite a 2-1 second-leg loss on 27 August 2026.
Osasuna secured away win against Celta Vigo
CA Osasuna enter the fixture following a 2-1 away victory over Celta Vigo in LaLiga on 27 August 2026.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.