Racing Santander — Elche CF: Win probabilities, 28.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 73.3% |
| 12 | 74.8% | |
| X2 | 51.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 62.7% / 37.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.6% / 5.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.4% / 16.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 60.9% / 39.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 38.6% / 61.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 21.0% / 79.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.0% / 90.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 28.08.2026
Racing Santander
14th place · 1 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 away Getafe 0:1
- 16.08.2026 home Villarreal 2:2
- 31.05.2026 home Cadiz 4:1
- 24.05.2026 away Malaga 1:1
- 16.05.2026 home Valladolid 4:1
Elche CF
18th place · 1 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 home Barcelona 0:5
- 17.08.2026 away La Coruna 1:1
- 23.05.2026 away Girona 1:1
- 17.05.2026 home Getafe 1:0
- 12.05.2026 away Betis 1:2
This season: Racing Santander at home vs Elche CF away
| Metric | Racing Santander · at home | Elche CF · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–0 | 0–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.87 | 1.41 |
| xG against per match | 0.66 | 0.34 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| Corners per match | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 02.03.2025 Racing Santander 2:0 Elche CF
- 19.12.2024 Elche CF 3:0 Racing Santander
- 04.05.2024 Racing Santander 3:1 Elche CF
- 02.09.2023 Elche CF 1:1 Racing Santander
- 04.07.2020 Racing Santander 1:2 Elche CF
- 01.12.2019 Elche CF 2:0 Racing Santander
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Racing Santander have a slight edge over Elche CF in this LaLiga meeting, although the outlook still leaves room for a competitive contest. The available assessment points towards the home side being better placed, but not to an entirely one-sided match. Elche CF should have opportunities to remain involved, particularly if the game develops at the expected attacking pace.
The match is projected to be high-scoring, with both teams likely to find the net. The most plausible scorelines indicate a narrow Racing Santander victory as one possible outcome, while a draw is also strongly represented by the 1:1 projection. A 2:0 result is another scenario, suggesting that the hosts could take control if they convert their chances efficiently. Overall, the signal favours Racing Santander avoiding defeat, with the main question being whether Elche CF can turn their attacking involvement into enough goals to take a point or more.
What matters before kick-off
Elche's recent defeat
Elche enter matchday three of LaLiga following a heavy 5-0 home defeat against Barcelona in their previous league fixture.
Racing's home record against Elche
Racing Santander have won their last two home matches against Elche at Campos de Sport de El Sardinero.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.