Union de Santa Fe — Instituto AC Cordoba: Win probabilities, 08.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 67.9% |
| 12 | 69.0% | |
| X2 | 63.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 48.7% / 51.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 88.8% / 11.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 69.0% / 31.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 41.1% / 58.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 20.6% / 79.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 8.7% / 91.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 3.1% / 96.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 08.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 28.08.2026 home Sarmiento Junin 4:1
- 21.08.2026 away Aldosivi 3:1
- 15.08.2026 away San Lorenzo 0:1
- 11.08.2026 home Central Cordoba 1:2
- 06.08.2026 home Lanus 2:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 01.09.2026 home San Lorenzo 1:0
- 22.08.2026 away Atl. Tucuman 0:0
- 17.08.2026 away Central Cordoba 1:0
- 09.08.2026 home Gimnasia Mendoza 1:0
- 03.08.2026 away Lanus 1:0
This season: Union de Santa Fe at home vs Instituto AC Cordoba away
| Metric | Union de Santa Fe · at home | Instituto AC Cordoba · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 11 | 12 |
| W–D–L | 5–4–2 | 4–3–5 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.64 | 0.67 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.82 | 0.83 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 8% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 25% |
Head-to-head · Last 5 meetings
- 01.03.2026 Instituto AC Cordoba 1:2 Union de Santa Fe
- 15.08.2025 Instituto AC Cordoba 0:4 Union de Santa Fe
- 14.02.2025 Union de Santa Fe 0:0 Instituto AC Cordoba
- 19.05.2024 Instituto AC Cordoba 1:1 Union de Santa Fe
- 06.02.2023 Union de Santa Fe 0:2 Instituto AC Cordoba
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Union de Santa Fe and Instituto AC Cordoba appear evenly matched ahead of their Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The overall outlook points toward a cautious contest in which neither side has a clearly established advantage. With a moderate level of confidence, the draw stands out as a plausible scenario, while Instituto AC Cordoba may have a slight edge in avoiding defeat.
The match is expected to be low-scoring, which should place added importance on defensive organisation and the value of the first goal. A high-scoring exchange is not the central expectation, although whether both teams find the net remains difficult to call. Scorelines such as 1:1, 0:0, or a narrow 0:1 result fit the balanced nature of the fixture.
What matters before kick-off
Form heading into Round 8
Unión de Santa Fe enters the match following back-to-back Clausura wins over Aldosivi (3-1) and Sarmiento (4-1). Meanwhile, Instituto AC Córdoba sits near the top of Zone A with 16 points, having won five of their last six league fixtures.
Instituto's recent Copa Argentina outing
Instituto AC Córdoba was recently eliminated from the Copa Argentina following a penalty shootout loss to Platense after a 1-1 draw in regular time.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.