CA Barracas Central — Argentinos Juniors: Win probabilities, 07.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 55.2% |
| 12 | 68.4% | |
| X2 | 76.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 42.6% / 57.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 86.7% / 13.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 64.0% / 36.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 35.7% / 64.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 16.6% / 83.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 6.4% / 93.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.1% / 97.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 07.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 01.09.2026 away Tigre 0:0
- 23.08.2026 home Platense 1:2
- 17.08.2026 home Rosario Central 0:1
- 09.08.2026 away Gimnasia L.P. 0:2
- 02.08.2026 away Dep. Riestra 1:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 home Aldosivi 2:1
- 25.08.2026 away Lanus 1:1
- 16.08.2026 away River Plate 0:2
- 10.08.2026 home Racing Club 2:1
- 01.08.2026 away Belgrano 1:0
This season: CA Barracas Central at home vs Argentinos Juniors away
| Metric | CA Barracas Central · at home | Argentinos Juniors · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 11 | 11 |
| W–D–L | 4–2–5 | 4–3–4 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 1.09 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 36% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 55% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 01.03.2026 Argentinos Juniors 1:1 CA Barracas Central
- 01.11.2025 CA Barracas Central 2:0 Argentinos Juniors
- 22.04.2025 Argentinos Juniors 3:0 CA Barracas Central
- 26.11.2024 Argentinos Juniors 0:1 CA Barracas Central
- 16.04.2024 Argentinos Juniors 3:3 CA Barracas Central
- 28.11.2023 CA Barracas Central 1:1 Argentinos Juniors
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA Barracas Central and Argentinos Juniors meet in a Primera LPF, Clausura fixture that points toward a cautious, low-scoring contest. The available signals give Argentinos Juniors a slight edge, although the overall profile also leaves room for a draw. Neither side is projected to dominate the attacking phases, so the opening periods could be shaped by defensive structure, patience, and the ability to avoid conceding from limited opportunities.
The strongest expectation is for a controlled match in which clear chances are relatively scarce. A clean sheet is considered likely, which reinforces the view that small details may carry more weight than sustained attacking pressure. CA Barracas Central will look to make home advantage count through discipline and compactness, while Argentinos Juniors appear better placed to avoid defeat and may have the sharper route to a narrow win. The balance of the assessment therefore favours the visitors slightly, with a draw remaining a credible outcome in a game where one goal could determine the direction.
What matters before kick-off
Barracas Central winless streak
Barracas Central enter matchday 8 of the 2026 Torneo Clausura on a four-match winless streak in league play (losses against Gimnasia La Plata, Rosario Central, Platense, and a 0-0 draw against Tigre).
Argentinos Juniors form and table position
Argentinos Juniors, coached by Nicolas Diez, head into matchday 8 sitting atop Zone B of the 2026 Torneo Clausura and remaining unbeaten in their last two outings.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.