CA Central Cordoba SE — CA Independiente Avellaneda: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 65.8% |
| 12 | 67.7% | |
| X2 | 66.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 47.8% / 52.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 87.8% / 12.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 67.9% / 32.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 39.4% / 60.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 19.3% / 80.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 8.0% / 92.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.8% / 97.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
CA Central Cordoba SE and CA Independiente Avellaneda appear evenly matched ahead of their Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The available assessment points to a cautious contest, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. The moderate confidence level reflects the narrow balance between the teams, while the low-scoring outlook suggests that defensive discipline and the management of limited opportunities could shape the match.
A draw is a credible possibility, and the assessment also gives CA Independiente Avellaneda a slight edge in avoiding defeat. Both teams scoring remains difficult to call, so the game may depend on whether either side can make the most of a small number of chances. The most plausible scorelines are 1:1, 0:0, and 0:1, all of which underline the expectation of a close encounter with limited scoring.
What matters before kick-off
Central Cordoba recent results
Central Cordoba enters matchday 8 of the 2026 Torneo Clausura against Independiente on a three-match winless run, having drawn 0-0 against Talleres after defeats to Tigre (1-2) and Instituto (0-1).
Jadson Viera seeking first win as Independiente boss
Independiente faces an away fixture against Central Cordoba in Santiago del Estero aiming for their first victory under head coach Jadson Viera.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.