Match intelligence

CA Central Cordoba SE — CA Independiente Avellaneda: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026

League: Primera LPF, Clausura (Argentina) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
CA Central Cordoba SE0
:
1CA Independiente Avellaneda
Locked signal X2 Probability 66.5% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 33.5% Home win CA Central Cordoba SE
X 32.3% Draw
W2 34.2% Away win CA Independiente Avellaneda
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1267.7%
Both teams to score
No52.2%
Totals 2.5
Under60.6%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X65.8%
1267.7%
X266.5%
Both teams to scoreYes/No47.8% / 52.2%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 87.8% / 12.2%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 67.9% / 32.1%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 39.4% / 60.6%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 19.3% / 80.7%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 8.0% / 92.0%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 2.8% / 97.2%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

CA Central Cordoba SE × CA Independiente Avellaneda
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 12.2%
0:1 10.0%
0:2 6.7%
0:3 2.6%
0:4 0.7%
0:5 0.2%
1
1:0 9.9%
1:1 15.2%
1:2 7.6%
1:3 2.9%
1:4 0.8%
1:5 0.2%
2
2:0 6.6%
2:1 7.5%
2:2 4.3%
2:3 1.6%
2:4 0.5%
2:5 0.1%
3
3:0 2.5%
3:1 2.8%
3:2 1.6%
3:3 0.6%
3:4 0.2%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 0.7%
4:1 0.8%
4:2 0.5%
4:3 0.2%
4:4 0.0%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.2%
5:1 0.2%
5:2 0.1%
5:3 0.0%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:115.2%
0:012.2%
0:110.0%
1:09.9%
1:27.6%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 06.09.2026

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 30.08.2026 away Talleres Cordoba 0:0
  • 24.08.2026 away Tigre 1:2
  • 17.08.2026 home Instituto 0:1
  • 11.08.2026 away Union de Santa Fe 2:1
  • 04.08.2026 home San Lorenzo 1:0

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 30.08.2026 home Gimnasia Mendoza 0:3
  • 22.08.2026 home Ind. Rivadavia 0:0
  • 17.08.2026 away Lanus 3:1
  • 09.08.2026 home Platense 0:1
  • 03.08.2026 away Velez Sarsfield 0:1

This season: CA Central Cordoba SE at home vs CA Independiente Avellaneda away

Metric CA Central Cordoba SE · at home CA Independiente Avellaneda · away
Matches1112
W–D–L5–1–54–3–5
Goals scored per match1.001.25
Goals conceded per match1.091.33
Over 2.5 goals27%42%
Both teams scored27%67%

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

CA Central Cordoba SE wins2
Draws1
CA Independiente Avellaneda wins3
Goals per match1.83
Both teams scored2/6
Over 2.5 goals1/6
  • 28.02.2026 CA Independiente Avellaneda 2:0 CA Central Cordoba SE
  • 01.12.2024 CA Independiente Avellaneda 2:0 CA Central Cordoba SE
  • 17.07.2023 CA Central Cordoba SE 0:1 CA Independiente Avellaneda
  • 06.10.2022 CA Independiente Avellaneda 1:2 CA Central Cordoba SE
  • 15.03.2022 CA Independiente Avellaneda 1:1 CA Central Cordoba SE
  • 21.11.2021 CA Central Cordoba SE 1:0 CA Independiente Avellaneda

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

CA Central Cordoba SE and CA Independiente Avellaneda appear evenly matched ahead of their Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The available assessment points to a cautious contest, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. The moderate confidence level reflects the narrow balance between the teams, while the low-scoring outlook suggests that defensive discipline and the management of limited opportunities could shape the match.

A draw is a credible possibility, and the assessment also gives CA Independiente Avellaneda a slight edge in avoiding defeat. Both teams scoring remains difficult to call, so the game may depend on whether either side can make the most of a small number of chances. The most plausible scorelines are 1:1, 0:0, and 0:1, all of which underline the expectation of a close encounter with limited scoring.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Central Cordoba recent results

Central Cordoba enters matchday 8 of the 2026 Torneo Clausura against Independiente on a three-match winless run, having drawn 0-0 against Talleres after defeats to Tigre (1-2) and Instituto (0-1).

Team news

Jadson Viera seeking first win as Independiente boss

Independiente faces an away fixture against Central Cordoba in Santiago del Estero aiming for their first victory under head coach Jadson Viera.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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