CA San Lorenzo de Almagro — CA Talleres de Cordoba: Win probabilities, 05.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 67.4% |
| 12 | 67.4% | |
| X2 | 65.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 38.0% / 62.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 84.7% / 15.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 57.0% / 43.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 29.6% / 70.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 12.5% / 87.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 4.4% / 95.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 1.3% / 98.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 05.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 01.09.2026 away Instituto 0:1
- 22.08.2026 away Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0:0
- 15.08.2026 home Union de Santa Fe 1:0
- 09.08.2026 home Huracan 0:2
- 04.08.2026 away Central Cordoba 0:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 home Central Cordoba 0:0
- 25.08.2026 home Rosario Central 2:2
- 18.08.2026 away Gimnasia Mendoza 1:3
- 12.08.2026 home Lanus 0:3
- 03.08.2026 away Platense 4:0
This season: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro at home vs CA Talleres de Cordoba away
| Metric | CA San Lorenzo de Almagro · at home | CA Talleres de Cordoba · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 11 | 12 |
| W–D–L | 5–2–4 | 4–4–4 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.09 | 1.08 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.18 | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 27% | 42% |
| Both teams scored | 36% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 01.03.2026 CA Talleres de Cordoba 0:0 CA San Lorenzo de Almagro
- 12.07.2025 CA Talleres de Cordoba 1:2 CA San Lorenzo de Almagro
- 25.01.2025 CA San Lorenzo de Almagro 1:0 CA Talleres de Cordoba
- 25.08.2024 CA San Lorenzo de Almagro 2:0 CA Talleres de Cordoba
- 17.04.2023 CA Talleres de Cordoba 0:0 CA San Lorenzo de Almagro
- 25.07.2022 CA San Lorenzo de Almagro 1:1 CA Talleres de Cordoba
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro and CA Talleres de Cordoba appear evenly matched ahead of their Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The available assessment points towards a cautious contest, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. That balance may make territorial control and the management of small moments more important than sustained dominance.
A low-scoring match is expected, and a clean sheet looks likely within the main scenario. The most plausible scorelines are 0:0, 1:0, and 1:1, all of which reflect a game where chances could be limited and the margin between the teams remains narrow. With moderate confidence in this reading, the result is best approached as a closely contested encounter, with CA San Lorenzo de Almagro having a slight edge in the broader outcome signal.
What matters before kick-off
Managerial changes ahead of the match
Both sides head into matchday 8 of the Clausura following managerial changes. Néstor Gorosito left San Lorenzo after their defeat to Instituto, while Jorge Sampaoli departed Talleres, leading both clubs into this fixture under new leadership.
San Lorenzo's head-to-head record
San Lorenzo hold a strong historical advantage over Talleres de Córdoba, having won 22 of their 43 meetings alongside 14 draws and just 7 defeats.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.