CA Aldosivi — CA Banfield: Win probabilities, 05.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 67.6% |
| 12 | 68.8% | |
| X2 | 63.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 48.0% / 52.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 88.5% / 11.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 68.3% / 31.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 40.3% / 59.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 20.0% / 80.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 8.3% / 91.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 3.0% / 97.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
CA Aldosivi and CA Banfield look evenly matched ahead of their Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The available assessment gives neither side a clear advantage, with a moderate level of confidence in that reading. This points to a contest likely to be decided by small details rather than a pronounced difference in quality.
The match is projected to be medium-scoring, while the possibility of both teams finding the net remains finely balanced. The most plausible scorelines include 1:1, 0:0 and 1:0, reflecting a game where a draw is a credible outcome but a narrow result for CA Aldosivi is also possible. Overall, the analysis leans toward protection for the home side, without suggesting a decisive prediction.
What matters before kick-off
Javier Sanguinetti's managerial debut for Aldosivi
Aldosivi head into the match with new head coach Javier Sanguinetti taking charge, replacing Israel Damonte following a three-match winless streak that ended in a 2-1 loss to Argentinos Juniors.
Banfield looking to halt losing run
Pedro Troglio's Banfield enter the fixture seeking to bounce back following consecutive league defeats against Newell's Old Boys and River Plate (3-2).
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.