CA Aldosivi — CA Banfield: Win probabilities, 05.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 66.1% |
| 12 | 67.7% | |
| X2 | 66.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 43.3% / 56.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 86.5% / 13.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 63.0% / 37.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 34.9% / 65.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 16.0% / 84.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 6.2% / 93.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.0% / 98.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 05.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 away Argentinos Jrs 1:2
- 21.08.2026 home Union de Santa Fe 1:3
- 15.08.2026 home Tigre 0:0
- 07.08.2026 away Rosario Central 1:2
- 02.08.2026 home Gimnasia L.P. 1:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 home River Plate 2:3
- 23.08.2026 away Newells Old Boys 1:2
- 15.08.2026 away Racing Club 1:0
- 10.08.2026 home Belgrano 0:2
- 01.08.2026 away Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0:0
This season: CA Aldosivi at home vs CA Banfield away
| Metric | CA Aldosivi · at home | CA Banfield · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 11 | 12 |
| W–D–L | 0–8–3 | 2–2–8 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.45 | 0.75 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.91 | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 18% | 42% |
| Both teams scored | 45% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 03.03.2026 CA Banfield 2:0 CA Aldosivi
- 09.11.2025 CA Banfield 0:1 CA Aldosivi
- 26.04.2025 CA Aldosivi 2:1 CA Banfield
- 12.10.2022 CA Aldosivi 0:1 CA Banfield
- 19.11.2021 CA Banfield 0:2 CA Aldosivi
- 27.03.2021 CA Aldosivi 1:1 CA Banfield
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA Aldosivi and CA Banfield appear evenly matched ahead of their Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The available assessment gives neither side a clear advantage, suggesting a contest likely to be decided by small details rather than sustained dominance. The moderate confidence reflects a balanced outlook, with the home side having some protection from playing at home but no strong separation between the teams.
The match is expected to be low-scoring, which points towards a cautious tactical approach and limited room for error. A draw is a credible scenario, with 1:1 and 0:0 among the most plausible scorelines, while a narrow 0:1 result also remains within the range of outcomes. Whether both teams score is difficult to separate, so the game may hinge on which side makes better use of its few attacking opportunities.
What matters before kick-off
Javier Sanguinetti's managerial debut for Aldosivi
Aldosivi head into the match with new head coach Javier Sanguinetti taking charge, replacing Israel Damonte following a three-match winless streak that ended in a 2-1 loss to Argentinos Juniors.
Banfield looking to halt losing run
Pedro Troglio's Banfield enter the fixture seeking to bounce back following consecutive league defeats against Newell's Old Boys and River Plate (3-2).
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.