Match intelligence

CA Belgrano de Cordoba — CA Huracan: Win probabilities, 04.09.2026

League: Primera LPF, Clausura (Argentina) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
CA Belgrano de Cordoba1
:
1CA Huracan
Locked signal 1X Probability 78.6% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 47.0% Home win CA Belgrano de Cordoba
X 31.5% Draw
W2 21.4% Away win CA Huracan
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X79.0%
Both teams to score
No59.1%
Totals 2.5
Under65.1%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X79.0%
1268.9%
X252.1%
Both teams to scoreYes/No40.9% / 59.1%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 86.4% / 13.6%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 63.2% / 36.8%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 34.9% / 65.1%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 16.0% / 84.0%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 6.2% / 93.8%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 2.0% / 98.0%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

CA Belgrano de Cordoba × CA Huracan
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 13.6%
0:1 8.4%
0:2 3.8%
0:3 1.0%
0:4 0.2%
0:5 0.0%
1
1:0 14.9%
1:1 13.9%
1:2 4.9%
1:3 1.3%
1:4 0.3%
1:5 0.0%
2
2:0 10.6%
2:1 8.3%
2:2 3.2%
2:3 0.8%
2:4 0.2%
2:5 0.0%
3
3:0 4.6%
3:1 3.6%
3:2 1.4%
3:3 0.4%
3:4 0.1%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 1.5%
4:1 1.2%
4:2 0.5%
4:3 0.1%
4:4 0.0%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.4%
5:1 0.3%
5:2 0.1%
5:3 0.0%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:014.9%
1:113.9%
0:013.6%
2:010.6%
0:18.4%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 04.09.2026

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 30.08.2026 away Atl. Tucuman 0:0
  • 23.08.2026 home Defensa y Justicia 1:2
  • 15.08.2026 home Ind. Rivadavia 2:0
  • 10.08.2026 away Banfield 2:0
  • 06.08.2026 away Tigre 0:0

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 29.08.2026 home Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1:1
  • 23.08.2026 home Dep. Riestra 0:0
  • 16.08.2026 away Sarmiento Junin 0:2
  • 09.08.2026 away San Lorenzo 2:0
  • 04.08.2026 home Atl. Tucuman 0:0

This season: CA Belgrano de Cordoba at home vs CA Huracan away

Metric CA Belgrano de Cordoba · at home CA Huracan · away
Matches1313
W–D–L7–2–42–8–3
Goals scored per match1.380.77
Goals conceded per match0.690.77
Over 2.5 goals38%15%
Both teams scored38%38%

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

CA Belgrano de Cordoba wins2
Draws1
CA Huracan wins3
Goals per match2.17
Both teams scored2/6
Over 2.5 goals2/6
  • 03.03.2026 CA Huracan 3:1 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
  • 12.07.2025 CA Huracan 0:3 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
  • 25.01.2025 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 1:1 CA Huracan
  • 19.08.2024 CA Huracan 1:0 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
  • 12.04.2023 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2:0 CA Huracan
  • 30.09.2018 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 0:1 CA Huracan

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

CA Belgrano de Cordoba welcome CA Huracan in the Primera LPF, Clausura, with the available assessment pointing to a slight but well-supported home advantage. The outlook is not for a wide-open contest, however. The match is expected to be low-scoring, which places greater importance on defensive organisation, patience in possession and the ability to make the most of limited attacking opportunities.

CA Huracan remain close enough in the projection to keep the result competitive, but CA Belgrano de Cordoba hold the clearer edge. A clean sheet is considered likely, reinforcing the expectation that one decisive moment could shape the match. The draw is also a credible scenario if neither side can turn territorial or possession advantages into clear chances. Overall, the analytical signal favours CA Belgrano de Cordoba avoiding defeat, with a narrow home win or a restrained draw fitting the projected pattern.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Torneo Clausura Round 8 fixture

Belgrano host Huracan in Round 8 of the 2026 Torneo Clausura at the Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra in Cordoba. Referee Luis Lobo Medina was appointed to officiate the match.

Team news

Recent form ahead of the clash

Belgrano enter the match winless in two games following a goalless draw against Atletico Tucuman. Huracan come off back-to-back draws, most recently drawing 1-1 against Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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