Estudiantes Rio Cuarto — CA Sarmiento Junin: Win probabilities, 04.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 65.6% |
| 12 | 68.1% | |
| X2 | 66.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 44.6% / 55.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 87.2% / 12.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 64.5% / 35.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 36.5% / 63.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 17.1% / 82.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 6.7% / 93.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.3% / 97.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 04.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 away Huracan 1:1
- 22.08.2026 home San Lorenzo 0:0
- 17.08.2026 home Atl. Tucuman 0:1
- 08.08.2026 away Ind. Rivadavia 1:2
- 01.08.2026 home Banfield 0:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 28.08.2026 away Union de Santa Fe 1:4
- 23.08.2026 home Estudiantes L.P. 2:0
- 16.08.2026 home Huracan 2:0
- 08.08.2026 away Atl. Tucuman 2:1
- 03.08.2026 home Ind. Rivadavia 2:1
This season: Estudiantes Rio Cuarto at home vs CA Sarmiento Junin away
| Metric | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto · at home | CA Sarmiento Junin · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 12 | 11 |
| W–D–L | 2–3–7 | 2–0–9 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.42 | 0.82 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.92 | 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 17% | 64% |
| Both teams scored | 17% | 55% |
Head-to-head · Last 1 meetings
- 03.03.2026 CA Sarmiento Junin 1:0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto and CA Sarmiento Junin look evenly matched ahead of their Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The available assessment points to a balanced contest, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. That suggests the match could be decided by small details, particularly in a game where the margin between the teams appears limited.
The expected pattern is cautious and low-scoring, with both teams scoring remaining a coin flip rather than a strong signal. A draw is a credible outcome, although CA Sarmiento Junin have a slight edge in the broader market indication. Estudiantes Rio Cuarto should still be competitive, especially if they can keep the game compact and avoid conceding early. Overall, this looks like a match in which patience and defensive discipline may be more influential than attacking momentum.
What matters before kick-off
Recent Match Results
Sarmiento de Junin enter the match following a 4-1 loss to Union de Santa Fe, which snapped a four-game winning streak. Meanwhile, Estudiantes Rio Cuarto played out a 1-1 draw against Huracan in their previous fixture.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.