CA Platense — Deportivo Riestra AFBC: Win probabilities, 04.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 69.5% |
| 12 | 65.8% | |
| X2 | 64.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 38.7% / 61.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 83.8% / 16.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 57.8% / 42.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 29.6% / 70.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 12.5% / 87.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 4.4% / 95.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 1.3% / 98.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 04.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 31.08.2026 away Defensa y Justicia 0:1
- 23.08.2026 away Barracas Central 2:1
- 16.08.2026 home Boca Juniors 1:1
- 09.08.2026 away Independiente 1:0
- 03.08.2026 home Talleres Cordoba 0:4
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 home Velez Sarsfield 1:1
- 23.08.2026 away Huracan 0:0
- 15.08.2026 away Newells Old Boys 0:2
- 08.08.2026 home Estudiantes L.P. 2:0
- 02.08.2026 home Barracas Central 0:1
This season: CA Platense at home vs Deportivo Riestra AFBC away
| Metric | CA Platense · at home | Deportivo Riestra AFBC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 11 | 11 |
| W–D–L | 2–4–5 | 0–4–7 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.64 | 0.18 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.36 | 1.09 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 27% | 9% |
| Both teams scored | 36% | 18% |
Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings
- 02.03.2026 Deportivo Riestra AFBC 0:0 CA Platense
- 13.10.2025 CA Platense 1:1 Deportivo Riestra AFBC
- 07.04.2025 Deportivo Riestra AFBC 1:0 CA Platense
- 08.11.2024 CA Platense 0:0 Deportivo Riestra AFBC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA Platense and Deportivo Riestra AFBC appear evenly matched ahead of their Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The available assessment points toward a cautious contest in which neither side holds a clear overall advantage. CA Platense may have a slight positional edge, with the outlook leaning toward the hosts avoiding defeat, but the balance remains close and a draw is a credible possibility.
The expected game profile is low-scoring, with limited space for either attack to establish sustained control. A clean sheet is considered likely, which makes a tight match more plausible than an open exchange of chances. The most consistent scenarios point toward a goalless or narrowly decided encounter, while a draw with both teams finding the net also fits the evenly matched assessment. Overall, the moderate confidence reflects a restrained forecast rather than a decisive separation between the teams.
What matters before kick-off
Playoff push and continental fixtures
CA Platense and Deportivo Riestra enter matchday 8 of the Clausura level on points, each having gathered 8 points from 7 matches. Additionally, Platense face Fluminense next week in the first leg of the CONMEBOL Libertadores quarter-finals.
Platense squad updates
Platense will be without the suspended Pablo Ferreira. In addition, Tomás Nasif, Gonzalo Goñi, Luciano Giménez, and Héctor Bobadilla are unavailable due to injuries.
Recent official results
In their previous league fixtures, CA Platense suffered a 1-0 defeat against Defensa y Justicia, whereas Deportivo Riestra drew 1-1 with Vélez Sarsfield.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.