Racing Club Avellaneda — Atletico Tucuman: Win probabilities, 07.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 82.5% |
| 12 | 72.1% | |
| X2 | 45.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 43.7% / 56.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 89.0% / 11.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 68.6% / 31.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 41.0% / 59.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 20.6% / 79.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 8.7% / 91.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 3.1% / 96.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 07.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 31.08.2026 away Ind. Rivadavia 1:3
- 24.08.2026 home Boca Juniors 1:1
- 15.08.2026 home Banfield 0:1
- 10.08.2026 away Argentinos Jrs 1:2
- 02.08.2026 home Tigre 1:3
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 home Belgrano 0:0
- 22.08.2026 home Instituto 0:0
- 17.08.2026 away Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1:0
- 08.08.2026 home Sarmiento Junin 1:2
- 04.08.2026 away Huracan 0:0
This season: Racing Club Avellaneda at home vs Atletico Tucuman away
| Metric | Racing Club Avellaneda · at home | Atletico Tucuman · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 11 | 11 |
| W–D–L | 3–4–4 | 3–1–7 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 0.91 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.18 | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 55% |
| Both teams scored | 64% | 55% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 04.03.2026 Atletico Tucuman 0:3 Racing Club Avellaneda
- 01.09.2024 Atletico Tucuman 1:0 Racing Club Avellaneda
- 24.04.2023 Racing Club Avellaneda 1:3 Atletico Tucuman
- 10.10.2022 Racing Club Avellaneda 2:0 Atletico Tucuman
- 14.03.2022 Atletico Tucuman 0:4 Racing Club Avellaneda
- 06.11.2021 Atletico Tucuman 0:2 Racing Club Avellaneda
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Racing Club Avellaneda have a slight but credible edge over Atletico Tucuman in this Primera LPF, Clausura fixture. The overall assessment points toward the hosts avoiding defeat, with the home side holding the stronger position while the match remains competitive rather than one-sided. The high confidence applies to that general direction, not to a specific final score.
The scoring outlook is moderate, suggesting a match that may develop without becoming especially open. Both teams scoring is difficult to separate, so the game could follow several balanced paths. A 1-1 draw is among the plausible outcomes, while narrow home success such as 1-0 is also consistent with the assessment. A goalless draw remains possible if neither side turns its opportunities into goals. Atletico Tucuman should therefore remain within contention, but Racing Club Avellaneda enter as the team with the clearer analytical advantage.
What matters before kick-off
Torneo Clausura round 8 fixture
Racing Club host Atlético Tucumán at Estadio Presidente Perón in round 8 of the Torneo Clausura. The home side entered the match sitting at the bottom of Group B following a 3-1 defeat to Independiente Rivadavia.
Atlético Tucumán recent form
Atlético Tucumán enter the match following back-to-back goalless draws in the league against Belgrano and Instituto. The team has also progressed to the Copa Argentina quarter-finals, where they are set to face Independiente Rivadavia.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.