CA River Plate (ARG) — Independiente Rivadavia: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 84.1% |
| 12 | 72.4% | |
| X2 | 43.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 45.6% / 54.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 89.6% / 10.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 71.6% / 28.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 44.0% / 56.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 22.9% / 77.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 10.1% / 89.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 3.8% / 96.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 06.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 away Banfield 3:2
- 23.08.2026 home Velez Sarsfield 2:2
- 16.08.2026 home Argentinos Jrs 2:0
- 08.08.2026 away Tigre 0:1
- 02.08.2026 home Rosario Central 0:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 31.08.2026 home Racing Club 3:1
- 22.08.2026 away Independiente 0:0
- 15.08.2026 away Belgrano 0:2
- 08.08.2026 home Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2:1
- 03.08.2026 away Sarmiento Junin 1:2
This season: CA River Plate (ARG) at home vs Independiente Rivadavia away
| Metric | CA River Plate (ARG) · at home | Independiente Rivadavia · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 16 | 11 |
| W–D–L | 8–2–6 | 4–5–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 0.82 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 27% |
| Both teams scored | 38% | 45% |
Head-to-head · Last 3 meetings
- 03.03.2026 Independiente Rivadavia 1:1 CA River Plate (ARG)
- 22.11.2024 Independiente Rivadavia 2:1 CA River Plate (ARG)
- 07.03.2024 CA River Plate (ARG) 2:0 Independiente Rivadavia
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA River Plate (ARG) have a slight edge over Independiente Rivadavia in this Primera LPF, Clausura meeting, although the low confidence level points to a closely contested match rather than a clear home advantage. The available outlook favours the hosts, but the gap between the teams is not considered decisive.
The game is projected to be medium-scoring, with neither a defensive stalemate nor an open goal-fest standing out as the most likely pattern. Whether both teams score is effectively balanced, so the match could develop around a narrow home win or remain level for long periods. CA River Plate (ARG) should have the stronger platform through home advantage, while Independiente Rivadavia remain capable of keeping the contest competitive.
What matters before kick-off
Round 8 Torneo Clausura Clash
River Plate host Independiente Rivadavia at the Estadio Mâs Monumental in round 8 of the 2026 Torneo Clausura.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.