Union de Santa Fe — CA Central Cordoba SE: Win probabilities, 11.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 88.0% |
| 12 | 77.3% | |
| X2 | 34.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 41.4% / 58.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.3% / 8.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 72.1% / 27.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 46.0% / 54.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 24.5% / 75.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.1% / 88.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.3% / 95.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 11.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.08.2026 home Lanus 2:1
- 01.08.2026 away Gimnasia Mendoza 0:2
- 25.07.2026 away Platense 2:2
- 12.05.2026 away Belgrano 0:2
- 10.05.2026 away Ind. Rivadavia 2:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 04.08.2026 home San Lorenzo 1:0
- 31.07.2026 home Atl. Tucuman 0:2
- 24.07.2026 away Gimnasia Mendoza 0:1
- 02.05.2026 home Boca Juniors 1:2
- 24.04.2026 away Lanus 0:0
This season: Union de Santa Fe at home vs CA Central Cordoba SE away
| Metric | Union de Santa Fe · at home | CA Central Cordoba SE · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 9 |
| W–D–L | 4–4–1 | 0–3–6 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.44 | 0.11 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.67 | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 11% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 11% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 07.02.2026 CA Central Cordoba SE 1:0 Union de Santa Fe
- 10.10.2025 CA Central Cordoba SE 3:1 Union de Santa Fe
- 06.04.2025 Union de Santa Fe 1:0 CA Central Cordoba SE
- 04.10.2024 Union de Santa Fe 0:2 CA Central Cordoba SE
- 19.03.2024 Union de Santa Fe 2:2 CA Central Cordoba SE
- 01.11.2023 CA Central Cordoba SE 2:0 Union de Santa Fe
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Union de Santa Fe come into this Primera LPF, Clausura meeting with a clear but not overwhelming advantage over CA Central Cordoba SE. The available assessment points toward the hosts as the stronger side, while the moderate confidence level suggests that this edge should be treated with some caution rather than as a decisive conclusion. The expected match profile is medium-scoring, indicating a contest with room for attacking moments without pointing to an especially open game.
The scoring outlook between the teams is balanced: both sides finding the net is considered an even possibility. That leaves several plausible paths for the match, including a controlled Union de Santa Fe victory or a closer contest in which CA Central Cordoba SE stay competitive. Overall, the analytical signal favours Union de Santa Fe, but the visitors retain enough potential to make the outcome less straightforward than the home preference alone might suggest.
What matters before kick-off
Unión de Santa Fe coming off first Clausura win
Unión de Santa Fe enters the match against Central Córdoba having secured its first victory of the 2026 Clausura, beating Lanús 2-1 at home.
Central Córdoba snapped losing streak last round
Central Córdoba entered matchday four with three points after recovering from two consecutive defeats to beat San Lorenzo 1-0.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.