CA Talleres de Cordoba — CA Lanus: Win probabilities, 12.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 73.9% |
| 12 | 66.2% | |
| X2 | 60.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 37.1% / 62.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 83.5% / 16.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 56.6% / 43.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 28.7% / 71.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 11.9% / 88.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 4.1% / 95.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 1.2% / 98.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 12.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 03.08.2026 away Platense 4:0
- 30.07.2026 home Velez Sarsfield 1:3
- 25.07.2026 away Newells Old Boys 0:1
- 09.05.2026 home Belgrano 0:1
- 02.05.2026 away Union de Santa Fe 1:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.08.2026 away Union de Santa Fe 1:2
- 03.08.2026 home Instituto 0:1
- 26.07.2026 home San Lorenzo 1:0
- 10.05.2026 away Argentinos Jrs 0:2
- 02.05.2026 home Dep. Riestra 0:0
This season: CA Talleres de Cordoba at home vs CA Lanus away
| Metric | CA Talleres de Cordoba · at home | CA Lanus · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 9 |
| W–D–L | 4–1–4 | 2–2–5 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.11 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.56 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 44% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 56% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 09.02.2026 CA Lanus 1:1 CA Talleres de Cordoba
- 09.08.2025 CA Lanus 1:0 CA Talleres de Cordoba
- 10.02.2025 CA Talleres de Cordoba 0:1 CA Lanus
- 07.11.2024 CA Talleres de Cordoba 1:2 CA Lanus
- 25.06.2023 CA Lanus 2:1 CA Talleres de Cordoba
- 02.10.2022 CA Talleres de Cordoba 0:1 CA Lanus
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA Talleres de Cordoba meet CA Lanus in the Primera LPF, Clausura, with the available indicators pointing to a cautious and closely contested match. The hosts hold a slight edge, and the high confidence in that assessment suggests CA Talleres de Cordoba are better placed to avoid defeat. However, the balance between the teams remains important, so this is not a matchup that points to a wide gap in performance.
The scoring outlook is low, which should keep the game compact and place greater importance on defensive concentration and the value of individual moments. Whether both teams find the net is finely balanced, with no clear indication that either side will consistently create a high volume of chances. CA Lanus can therefore remain competitive if they maintain their structure, while CA Talleres de Cordoba will look to make home advantage count without turning the match into an open contest.
What matters before kick-off
Talleres de Córdoba recent result
In the previous round of the league, Talleres de Córdoba secured their first victory under manager Jorge Sampaoli with a 4-0 away win against Platense.
CA Lanús current form
Mauricio Pellegrino's side enters the match on a two-game losing streak in the league against Instituto and Unión de Santa Fe, having lost 7 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.