Argentinos Juniors — Racing Club Avellaneda: Win probabilities, 09.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 74.0% |
| 12 | 66.9% | |
| X2 | 59.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 37.9% / 62.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 84.3% / 15.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 57.7% / 42.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 29.8% / 70.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 12.7% / 87.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 4.5% / 95.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 1.3% / 98.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 09.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 01.08.2026 away Belgrano 1:0
- 29.07.2026 home Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 3:0
- 23.07.2026 away Sarmiento Junin 3:2
- 17.05.2026 home Belgrano 1:1
- 13.05.2026 home Huracan 0:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 02.08.2026 home Tigre 1:3
- 29.07.2026 away Rosario Central 0:0
- 24.07.2026 home Gimnasia L.P. 2:1
- 13.05.2026 away Rosario Central 1:1
- 10.05.2026 away Estudiantes L.P. 1:0
This season: Argentinos Juniors at home vs Racing Club Avellaneda away
| Metric | Argentinos Juniors · at home | Racing Club Avellaneda · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 13 | 12 |
| W–D–L | 8–5–0 | 4–5–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.23 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.38 | 0.75 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 23% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 31% | 42% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 07.02.2026 Racing Club Avellaneda 2:1 Argentinos Juniors
- 24.08.2025 Argentinos Juniors 4:1 Racing Club Avellaneda
- 16.02.2025 Racing Club Avellaneda 2:3 Argentinos Juniors
- 21.05.2024 Racing Club Avellaneda 3:0 Argentinos Juniors
- 05.02.2023 Argentinos Juniors 1:0 Racing Club Avellaneda
- 03.09.2022 Racing Club Avellaneda 1:0 Argentinos Juniors
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Argentinos Juniors have a slight edge over Racing Club Avellaneda in this Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The overall outlook points towards a controlled and closely contested match, with the home side holding the stronger position without a clear indication of a decisive advantage. Racing Club Avellaneda should remain competitive, particularly if the game develops into a cautious midfield battle.
A low-scoring pattern is expected, which places added importance on defensive organisation and the ability to make limited attacking opportunities count. The assessment of both teams scoring is evenly balanced, so either side could find the net, but an open exchange is not the main expectation. The most plausible scorelines are 1:1, 0:0 and 1:0, reflecting a match where the draw remains a significant possibility despite the slight edge for Argentinos Juniors.
What matters before kick-off
Recent team results
Argentinos Juniors enter the match following a 1-0 away victory over Belgrano. Meanwhile, Racing Club suffered a 3-1 home defeat against Tigre in their last fixture.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.