Instituto AC Cordoba — Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza: Win probabilities, 09.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 87.9% |
| 12 | 73.4% | |
| X2 | 38.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 39.1% / 60.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 88.5% / 11.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 68.1% / 31.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 40.2% / 59.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 19.9% / 80.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 8.3% / 91.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.9% / 97.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 09.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 03.08.2026 away Lanus 1:0
- 30.07.2026 home Platense 2:1
- 24.07.2026 away Velez Sarsfield 0:1
- 05.05.2026 away Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2:0
- 26.04.2026 away Newells Old Boys 1:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 01.08.2026 home Union de Santa Fe 2:0
- 28.07.2026 away San Lorenzo 0:1
- 24.07.2026 home Central Cordoba 1:0
- 04.05.2026 home Defensa y Justicia 2:1
- 26.04.2026 away Ind. Rivadavia 1:5
This season: Instituto AC Cordoba at home vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza away
| Metric | Instituto AC Cordoba · at home | Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 9 |
| W–D–L | 5–1–3 | 1–3–5 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.44 | 0.56 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 44% |
Head-to-head · Last 1 meetings
- 09.02.2026 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 1:0 Instituto AC Cordoba
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Instituto AC Cordoba meet Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza in the Primera LPF, Clausura, with the hosts holding the clearer edge according to the available assessment. Confidence is moderate rather than decisive, so the matchup should be approached with some caution. Instituto AC Cordoba are viewed as the stronger side, while Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza will look to keep the contest close and limit the space available to their opponents.
The expected pattern is a low-scoring game, with a clean sheet considered likely. That points toward a match decided by fine margins rather than an open exchange of chances. The most plausible scorelines are 1-0 and 2-0 in favour of Instituto AC Cordoba, while 1-1 remains a credible alternative if Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza can resist the home pressure. Overall, the analysis gives Instituto AC Cordoba the advantage, but not with enough certainty to dismiss a closely fought draw.
What matters before kick-off
Instituto's 108th anniversary
Instituto is playing this Torneo Clausura matchday 4 fixture on the day of the club's 108th anniversary at the Monumental de Alta Córdoba stadium.
Recent form entering the match
Both teams entered the fixture on 6 points in the Torneo Clausura; Instituto won 1-0 away at Lanús in their previous game, while Gimnasia de Mendoza secured a 2-0 victory against Unión de Santa Fe.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.