Deportivo Riestra AFBC — Estudiantes de La Plata: Win probabilities, 08.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 62.5% |
| 12 | 64.4% | |
| X2 | 73.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 29.9% / 70.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 79.5% / 20.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 47.4% / 52.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 21.5% / 78.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 7.8% / 92.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 2.3% / 97.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 0.6% / 99.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 08.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 02.08.2026 home Barracas Central 0:1
- 29.07.2026 away Defensa y Justicia 1:2
- 26.07.2026 home Boca Juniors 3:0
- 02.05.2026 away Lanus 0:0
- 24.04.2026 home Independiente 2:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.08.2026 away Boca Juniors 0:1
- 01.08.2026 home Defensa y Justicia 3:0
- 26.07.2026 home Independiente 0:2
- 10.05.2026 home Racing Club 0:1
- 03.05.2026 away Platense 2:0
This season: Deportivo Riestra AFBC at home vs Estudiantes de La Plata away
| Metric | Deportivo Riestra AFBC · at home | Estudiantes de La Plata · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 10 | 9 |
| W–D–L | 2–5–3 | 4–3–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.70 | 0.89 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.50 | 0.44 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 10% | 11% |
| Both teams scored | 20% | 22% |
Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings
- 09.02.2026 Estudiantes de La Plata 1:0 Deportivo Riestra AFBC
- 20.05.2024 Estudiantes de La Plata 2:0 Deportivo Riestra AFBC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Deportivo Riestra AFBC and Estudiantes de La Plata appear evenly matched ahead of their Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The available assessment points toward a cautious contest, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. That balance could make the opening stages measured, as both teams look to avoid conceding space and protect their defensive structure.
A low-scoring match is the most likely profile. A clean sheet for one side is considered likely, which places added importance on concentration in both penalty areas and the value of the first goal. The expected outcome is finely balanced, with a draw a credible possibility and only a slight edge toward Estudiantes de La Plata in the broader result signal. Deportivo Riestra AFBC should still have a realistic path to success, particularly if they can keep the game compact and turn limited chances into pressure. With narrow margins expected, this fixture may be decided by one moment rather than sustained dominance.
What matters before kick-off
Torneo Clausura matchday 4 fixture
Deportivo Riestra host Estudiantes de La Plata at the Estadio Guillermo Laza in matchday 4 of the 2026 Torneo Clausura.
Recent league form
Heading into the match, both teams have three points, with Deportivo Riestra coming off a 1-0 defeat to Barracas Central and Estudiantes losing 1-0 to Boca Juniors.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.