Atletico Tucuman — CA Sarmiento Junin: Win probabilities, 08.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 83.3% |
| 12 | 71.5% | |
| X2 | 45.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 40.6% / 59.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 87.8% / 12.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 65.7% / 34.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 37.8% / 62.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 18.1% / 81.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 7.3% / 92.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.5% / 97.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 08.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 04.08.2026 away Huracan 0:0
- 31.07.2026 away Central Cordoba 2:0
- 26.07.2026 home Ind. Rivadavia 0:0
- 03.05.2026 away River Plate 1:0
- 27.04.2026 home Banfield 1:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 03.08.2026 home Ind. Rivadavia 2:1
- 28.07.2026 away Banfield 2:3
- 23.07.2026 home Argentinos Jrs 2:3
- 03.05.2026 away Belgrano 0:4
- 25.04.2026 home Tigre 1:0
This season: Atletico Tucuman at home vs CA Sarmiento Junin away
| Metric | Atletico Tucuman · at home | CA Sarmiento Junin · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 9 |
| W–D–L | 2–6–1 | 1–0–8 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.89 | 0.67 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.67 | 1.89 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 22% | 56% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 44% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 08.02.2026 CA Sarmiento Junin 2:1 Atletico Tucuman
- 18.08.2025 CA Sarmiento Junin 2:2 Atletico Tucuman
- 14.02.2025 Atletico Tucuman 5:0 CA Sarmiento Junin
- 04.11.2024 Atletico Tucuman 1:0 CA Sarmiento Junin
- 26.06.2023 CA Sarmiento Junin 4:1 Atletico Tucuman
- 19.07.2022 Atletico Tucuman 1:0 CA Sarmiento Junin
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Atletico Tucuman have a slight but meaningful edge over CA Sarmiento Junin in this Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The assessment points toward a controlled contest in which the hosts are the more likely side to manage the important moments, although the margin between the teams is not expected to produce an open or high-tempo match. The home advantage gives Atletico Tucuman the stronger position, with the overall outlook indicating a high level of confidence in that reading.
The game is projected to be low-scoring, making defensive organisation and the first goal especially important. A narrow home victory is the clearest scenario, while a draw remains a credible alternative if CA Sarmiento Junin can keep the match compact. The available signal favours Atletico Tucuman avoiding defeat, and a clean sheet appears more likely than both teams finding the net. Overall, the match points toward a cautious home result rather than a wide-margin outcome.
What matters before kick-off
Torneo Clausura Zone B Matchday 4 Context
Atlético Tucumán hosts Sarmiento de Junín at the Estadio Monumental José Fierro for matchday 4 of Zone B in the 2026 Torneo Clausura. Atlético Tucumán enters the fixture in 4th place with 5 points after a 0-0 draw against Huracán, while Sarmiento is 13th with 3 points following a 2-1 win over Independiente Rivadavia.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.