Independiente Rivadavia — Estudiantes Rio Cuarto: Win probabilities, 08.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 88.3% |
| 12 | 74.4% | |
| X2 | 37.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 40.6% / 59.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 89.4% / 10.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 70.5% / 29.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 42.9% / 57.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 22.0% / 78.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 9.5% / 90.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 3.5% / 96.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 08.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 03.08.2026 away Sarmiento Junin 1:2
- 30.07.2026 home Huracan 2:1
- 26.07.2026 away Atl. Tucuman 0:0
- 10.05.2026 home Union de Santa Fe 1:2
- 03.05.2026 away Aldosivi 1:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 01.08.2026 home Banfield 0:0
- 29.07.2026 away Argentinos Jrs 0:3
- 25.07.2026 home Tigre 1:0
- 05.05.2026 home Instituto 0:2
- 24.04.2026 home Rosario Central 1:2
This season: Independiente Rivadavia at home vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto away
| Metric | Independiente Rivadavia · at home | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 11 | 9 |
| W–D–L | 7–1–3 | 0–1–8 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 0.11 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.18 | 1.89 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 82% | 11% |
Head-to-head · Last 1 meetings
- 10.02.2026 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0:1 Independiente Rivadavia
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Independiente Rivadavia approach this Primera LPF, Clausura fixture as the clearly stronger side, although the moderate confidence level suggests a measured assessment rather than an overwhelming mismatch. Estudiantes Rio Cuarto may therefore face a demanding evening, with the hosts expected to control more of the match and create the better opportunities. The available signal points towards a home win, but the balance of the game could still depend on how efficiently Independiente Rivadavia convert their chances.
The scoring outlook is medium rather than especially open. A clean sheet for Independiente Rivadavia is considered likely, which makes a controlled home performance more plausible than a high-scoring contest. The most consistent scoreline indications are 1:0 and 2:0, while 1:1 remains a possible alternative if Estudiantes Rio Cuarto can resist pressure and take advantage of limited opportunities. Overall, the matchup gives Independiente Rivadavia a clear edge, with defensive discipline and chance conversion likely to shape the final outcome.
What matters before kick-off
Recent defeat for Independiente Rivadavia
On August 3, 2026, Independiente Rivadavia lost 2-1 away to Sarmiento in matchday 3 of the Torneo Clausura.
Recent match for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
On August 1, 2026, Estudiantes Rio Cuarto played at home against Banfield in matchday 3 of the Torneo Clausura.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.