CA Rosario Central — CA Aldosivi: Win probabilities, 07.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 88.1% |
| 12 | 76.1% | |
| X2 | 35.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 39.6% / 60.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 90.2% / 9.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 70.0% / 30.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 43.1% / 56.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 22.2% / 77.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 9.6% / 90.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 3.6% / 96.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 07.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 02.08.2026 away River Plate 1:0
- 29.07.2026 home Racing Club 0:0
- 23.07.2026 away Belgrano 1:2
- 16.05.2026 away River Plate 0:1
- 13.05.2026 home Racing Club 1:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 02.08.2026 home Gimnasia L.P. 1:2
- 29.07.2026 away Barracas Central 0:1
- 24.07.2026 away Defensa y Justicia 1:1
- 03.05.2026 home Ind. Rivadavia 1:1
- 26.04.2026 away River Plate 1:3
This season: CA Rosario Central at home vs CA Aldosivi away
| Metric | CA Rosario Central · at home | CA Aldosivi · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 11 | 10 |
| W–D–L | 5–4–2 | 0–2–8 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.27 | 0.40 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.82 | 1.60 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 64% | 40% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 07.02.2026 CA Aldosivi 1:1 CA Rosario Central
- 04.07.2022 CA Aldosivi 2:1 CA Rosario Central
- 15.04.2022 CA Aldosivi 1:0 CA Rosario Central
- 02.08.2021 CA Rosario Central 1:2 CA Aldosivi
- 16.04.2021 CA Aldosivi 0:1 CA Rosario Central
- 29.12.2020 CA Aldosivi 0:1 CA Rosario Central
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA Rosario Central go into this Primera LPF, Clausura fixture as the clearly stronger side, although the moderate confidence level suggests that the assessment should be treated with appropriate caution. CA Aldosivi face a difficult task away from home, particularly if CA Rosario Central can impose the balance of play and limit the visitors’ opportunities in front of goal.
The match is expected to be medium-scoring rather than an open contest, with the available assessment pointing towards a clean sheet being more likely than both teams finding the net. That combination gives CA Rosario Central the stronger overall outlook, while CA Aldosivi’s best route may be to remain compact and make the game difficult to control. The central expectation is therefore a home victory in a relatively controlled match, though the possibility of a draw remains part of the wider picture.
What matters before kick-off
Matchday 4 in 2026 Clausura
CA Rosario Central host CA Aldosivi at the Estadio Gigante de Arroyito for matchday 4 in Zone B of the 2026 Argentine Clausura.
Rosario Central coming off a win over River Plate
Jorge Almirón's Rosario Central enter the match following a 1-0 victory over River Plate in their previous league fixture.
Israel Damonte's Aldosivi seeking first league win
Israel Damonte's Aldosivi side enter after consecutive league defeats, having collected just one point from their opening three Clausura matches.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.