CA San Lorenzo de Almagro — CA Huracan: Win probabilities, 09.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 67.7% |
| 12 | 65.5% | |
| X2 | 66.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 31.4% / 68.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 80.8% / 19.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 48.9% / 51.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 22.9% / 77.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 8.5% / 91.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 2.6% / 97.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 0.7% / 99.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 09.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 04.08.2026 away Central Cordoba 0:1
- 28.07.2026 home Gimnasia Mendoza 1:0
- 26.07.2026 away Lanus 0:1
- 10.05.2026 away River Plate 1:1
- 02.05.2026 home Independiente 1:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 04.08.2026 home Atl. Tucuman 0:0
- 30.07.2026 away Ind. Rivadavia 1:2
- 25.07.2026 home Banfield 1:0
- 13.05.2026 away Argentinos Jrs 0:0
- 09.05.2026 away Boca Juniors 1:1
This season: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro at home vs CA Huracan away
| Metric | CA San Lorenzo de Almagro · at home | CA Huracan · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 11 |
| W–D–L | 4–2–3 | 1–8–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.22 | 0.73 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.22 | 0.73 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 45% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 08.02.2026 CA Huracan 1:0 CA San Lorenzo de Almagro
- 30.08.2025 CA San Lorenzo de Almagro 0:0 CA Huracan
- 23.02.2025 CA Huracan 2:0 CA San Lorenzo de Almagro
- 20.07.2024 CA San Lorenzo de Almagro 1:1 CA Huracan
- 24.02.2024 CA Huracan 0:0 CA San Lorenzo de Almagro
- 30.09.2023 CA San Lorenzo de Almagro 1:1 CA Huracan
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro and CA Huracan appear evenly matched ahead of their Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The available assessment gives neither side a clear advantage, pointing instead to a balanced contest in which small details and defensive discipline could have a significant influence. With only moderate confidence in the overall outlook, the match is difficult to separate on comparative strength alone.
The expected pattern is low-scoring, with a clean sheet considered likely. That suggests a cautious game, where both teams may prioritise their defensive shape and avoid taking excessive risks early on. Chances could be limited, making set pieces, transitions and individual moments particularly important. A draw is a credible scenario, although a narrow victory for either CA San Lorenzo de Almagro or CA Huracan would also fit the balanced profile of the fixture.
What matters before kick-off
Matchday 4 fixture in the 2026 Clausura
San Lorenzo host Huracán at the Estadio Pedro Bidegain in matchday 4 of the 2026 Torneo Clausura.
San Lorenzo's previous result
San Lorenzo head into the derby following a 1-0 away defeat against Central Córdoba in their previous league fixture.
Huracán's previous result
Huracán enter the match after recording a 0-0 home draw against Atlético Tucumán in their last outing.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.