Match intelligence

CA Banfield — CA Belgrano de Cordoba: Win probabilities, 10.08.2026

League: Primera LPF, Clausura (Argentina) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
CA Banfield0
:
2CA Belgrano de Cordoba
Locked signal X2 Probability 70.4% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 29.6% Home win CA Banfield
X 33.0% Draw
W2 37.3% Away win CA Belgrano de Cordoba
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
X270.4%
Both teams to score
No61.9%
Totals 2.5
Under70.4%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X62.7%
1267.0%
X270.4%
Both teams to scoreYes/No38.1% / 61.9%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 84.4% / 15.6%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 57.3% / 42.7%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 29.6% / 70.4%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 12.5% / 87.5%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 4.4% / 95.6%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 1.3% / 98.7%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

CA Banfield × CA Belgrano de Cordoba
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 15.6%
0:1 14.6%
0:2 7.8%
0:3 2.7%
0:4 0.7%
0:5 0.1%
1
1:0 12.5%
1:1 14.1%
1:2 6.9%
1:3 2.3%
1:4 0.6%
1:5 0.1%
2
2:0 5.8%
2:1 5.9%
2:2 3.0%
2:3 1.0%
2:4 0.3%
2:5 0.1%
3
3:0 1.7%
3:1 1.7%
3:2 0.9%
3:3 0.3%
3:4 0.1%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 0.4%
4:1 0.4%
4:2 0.2%
4:3 0.1%
4:4 0.0%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.1%
5:1 0.1%
5:2 0.0%
5:3 0.0%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
0:015.6%
0:114.6%
1:114.1%
1:012.5%
0:27.8%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 10.08.2026

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 01.08.2026 away Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0:0
  • 28.07.2026 home Sarmiento Junin 3:2
  • 25.07.2026 away Huracan 0:1
  • 02.05.2026 away Barracas Central 2:1
  • 27.04.2026 away Atl. Tucuman 1:1

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 06.08.2026 away Tigre 0:0
  • 01.08.2026 home Argentinos Jrs 0:1
  • 23.07.2026 home Rosario Central 2:1
  • 24.05.2026 away River Plate 3:2
  • 17.05.2026 away Argentinos Jrs 1:1

This season: CA Banfield at home vs CA Belgrano de Cordoba away

Metric CA Banfield · at home CA Belgrano de Cordoba · away
Matches912
W–D–L5–2–25–5–2
Goals scored per match1.440.92
Goals conceded per match0.890.92
Over 2.5 goals44%33%
Both teams scored44%42%

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

CA Banfield wins0
Draws3
CA Belgrano de Cordoba wins3
Goals per match2.33
Both teams scored5/6
Over 2.5 goals2/6
  • 08.02.2026 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 1:0 CA Banfield
  • 10.08.2025 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2:1 CA Banfield
  • 07.02.2025 CA Banfield 1:1 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
  • 06.11.2024 CA Banfield 1:1 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
  • 27.06.2023 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 3:1 CA Banfield
  • 22.10.2018 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 1:1 CA Banfield

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

CA Banfield and CA Belgrano de Cordoba appear evenly matched heading into their Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The available assessment points toward a cautious contest, with limited space likely to open up between the lines and few clear scoring opportunities. Neither side carries a decisive advantage in the overall balance, so the opening stages may be shaped by patience and defensive organisation rather than sustained attacking pressure.

A low-scoring match is the most plausible profile, with a clean sheet also considered likely. The main scoreline possibilities are 0:0, 0:1 and 1:1, reflecting the expectation of a narrow margin or no margin at all. The moderate confidence level suggests that the match should be approached as a finely balanced encounter, although the market signal gives CA Belgrano de Cordoba some protection against defeat. Small details, particularly the handling of set pieces and the efficiency of limited chances, could have a significant influence on the final outcome.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Matchday 4 Torneo Clausura Fixture

CA Banfield hosts CA Belgrano de Cordoba at the Estadio Florencio Sola in Matchday 4 of Zone B in the 2026 Argentine Torneo Clausura.

Schedule

Banfield's Matchday 3 Result

Heading into the match against Belgrano, CA Banfield played out a 0-0 away draw against Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto in Matchday 3 of the Torneo Clausura.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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