Udinese Calcio — Lazio Rome: Win probabilities, 07.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 66.0% |
| 12 | 69.4% | |
| X2 | 64.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 52.4% / 47.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 89.9% / 10.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 72.8% / 27.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 45.3% / 54.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 24.0% / 76.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 10.7% / 89.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.1% / 95.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 07.09.2026
Udinese Calcio
9th place · 4 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 away Monza 3:2
- 22.08.2026 home Como 1:1
- 24.05.2026 away Napoli 0:1
- 17.05.2026 home Cremonese 0:1
- 09.05.2026 away Cagliari 2:0
Lazio Rome
7th place · 6 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 home Genoa 1:0
- 24.08.2026 away Bologna 1:0
- 23.05.2026 home Pisa 2:1
- 17.05.2026 away Roma 0:2
- 09.05.2026 home Inter 0:3
This season: Udinese Calcio at home vs Lazio Rome away
| Metric | Udinese Calcio · at home | Lazio Rome · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–0 | 1–0–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| xG for per match | 2.14 | 0.63 |
| xG against per match | 1.51 | 1.78 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Corners per match | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 27.04.2026 Lazio Rome 3:3 Udinese Calcio
- 27.12.2025 Udinese Calcio 1:1 Lazio Rome
- 10.03.2025 Lazio Rome 1:1 Udinese Calcio
- 24.08.2024 Udinese Calcio 2:1 Lazio Rome
- 11.03.2024 Lazio Rome 1:2 Udinese Calcio
- 07.01.2024 Udinese Calcio 1:2 Lazio Rome
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Udinese Calcio and Lazio Rome appear evenly matched ahead of their Serie A meeting. The available assessment gives neither side a clear advantage, so the game may be shaped by small details rather than a sustained difference in quality. A balanced contest is the central expectation, with a draw a credible outcome and only a slight lean toward protecting the home result.
The scoring outlook is medium, suggesting a match that could produce chances without necessarily becoming open from the start. Both teams scoring is considered a coin flip, which leaves room for either a measured exchange of opportunities or a more cautious contest. Udinese Calcio may look to use home advantage, while Lazio Rome will seek enough control to avoid being drawn into an overly transitional game. Overall, the moderate confidence reflects a close fixture in which neither team stands out clearly.
What matters before kick-off
Udinese enter match following Coppa Italia advancement
Udinese remain unbeaten at the start of the 2026-27 campaign. After opening Serie A with a 1-1 draw against Como and a 3-2 victory over Monza, the Friulians secured a 2-1 midweek win over Venezia to advance in the Coppa Italia.
Lazio start Serie A campaign with consecutive clean sheets
Lazio began their league campaign with back-to-back 1-0 victories over Bologna and Genoa. The Biancocelesti are one of only three Serie A teams alongside Juventus and Roma to keep clean sheets in both of their opening two matches.
Recent history of draws between Udinese and Lazio
Each of the last three Serie A encounters between Udinese and Lazio ended in a draw.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.