Frosinone Calcio — Venezia FC: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 67.2% |
| 12 | 73.4% | |
| X2 | 59.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 67.2% / 32.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.5% / 5.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 86.2% / 13.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 64.3% / 35.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 42.2% / 57.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 24.0% / 76.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.9% / 88.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 06.09.2026
Frosinone Calcio
9th place · 3 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 away Fiorentina 3:0
- 23.08.2026 home Juventus 0:1
- 08.05.2026 home Mantova 5:0
- 01.05.2026 away Juve Stabia 1:0
- 25.04.2026 home Carrarese 3:0
Venezia FC
18th place · 0 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 28.08.2026 away Milan 0:2
- 23.08.2026 home Lecce 0:2
- 08.05.2026 home Palermo 2:0
- 01.05.2026 away Spezia 2:2
- 25.04.2026 home Empoli 2:0
This season: Frosinone Calcio at home vs Venezia FC away
| Metric | Frosinone Calcio · at home | Venezia FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–1 | 0–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.41 | 0.80 |
| xG against per match | 2.18 | 2.21 |
| Shots on target per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Corners per match | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 07.02.2026 Frosinone Calcio 1:2 Venezia FC
- 04.10.2025 Venezia FC 3:0 Frosinone Calcio
- 05.03.2023 Frosinone Calcio 3:0 Venezia FC
- 14.10.2022 Venezia FC 1:3 Frosinone Calcio
- 06.02.2021 Frosinone Calcio 1:2 Venezia FC
- 03.10.2020 Venezia FC 0:2 Frosinone Calcio
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Frosinone Calcio and Venezia FC appear evenly matched ahead of their Serie A meeting. The available assessment gives neither side a clear advantage, with the moderate confidence indicating that the match is difficult to separate. That balance makes the draw a credible possibility, although the listed outcomes also include a narrow win for either team.
The scoring outlook points toward an entertaining contest, with a high-scoring game expected and both teams likely to find the net. The most prominent scoreline is 1:1, while 2:1 and 1:2 also reflect the close nature of the matchup. Overall, this looks like a fixture where the teams could trade attacking moments, with the final result potentially decided by small margins rather than a sustained superiority from either Frosinone Calcio or Venezia FC.
What matters before kick-off
Recent League Results
In their previous Serie A match, Frosinone secured a 3-0 victory against Fiorentina, whereas Venezia suffered a 2-0 defeat away to AC Milan.
Coppa Italia Exit
Heading into this fixture, both teams exited the Coppa Italia mid-week, with Frosinone losing on penalties to Sassuolo and Venezia suffering a 2-1 defeat to Udinese.
Historic Serie A Debut Matchup
This matchday 3 fixture marks the first-ever top-flight Serie A encounter between Frosinone and Venezia in their history.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.