Frosinone Calcio — Venezia FC: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 67.2% |
| 12 | 73.4% | |
| X2 | 59.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 67.2% / 32.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.5% / 5.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 86.2% / 13.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 64.3% / 35.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 42.2% / 57.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 24.0% / 76.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.9% / 88.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Frosinone Calcio and Venezia FC appear evenly matched ahead of their Serie A meeting. The available assessment gives neither side a clear advantage, with the moderate confidence indicating that the match is difficult to separate. That balance makes the draw a credible possibility, although the listed outcomes also include a narrow win for either team.
The scoring outlook points toward an entertaining contest, with a high-scoring game expected and both teams likely to find the net. The most prominent scoreline is 1:1, while 2:1 and 1:2 also reflect the close nature of the matchup. Overall, this looks like a fixture where the teams could trade attacking moments, with the final result potentially decided by small margins rather than a sustained superiority from either Frosinone Calcio or Venezia FC.
What matters before kick-off
Recent League Results
In their previous Serie A match, Frosinone secured a 3-0 victory against Fiorentina, whereas Venezia suffered a 2-0 defeat away to AC Milan.
Coppa Italia Exit
Heading into this fixture, both teams exited the Coppa Italia mid-week, with Frosinone losing on penalties to Sassuolo and Venezia suffering a 2-1 defeat to Udinese.
Historic Serie A Debut Matchup
This matchday 3 fixture marks the first-ever top-flight Serie A encounter between Frosinone and Venezia in their history.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.