Bologna FC — Sassuolo Calcio: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 76.7% |
| 12 | 74.0% | |
| X2 | 49.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 56.7% / 43.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.1% / 6.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.0% / 21.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 54.4% / 45.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 32.1% / 67.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 16.1% / 83.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.0% / 93.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 06.09.2026
Bologna FC
15th place · 0 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 31.08.2026 away Atalanta 0:1
- 24.08.2026 home Lazio 0:1
- 23.05.2026 home Inter 3:3
- 17.05.2026 away Atalanta 1:0
- 11.05.2026 away Napoli 3:2
Sassuolo Calcio
11th place · 3 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 home Torino 2:1
- 23.08.2026 away Atalanta 1:2
- 24.05.2026 away Parma 0:1
- 17.05.2026 home Lecce 2:3
- 08.05.2026 away Torino 1:2
This season: Bologna FC at home vs Sassuolo Calcio away
| Metric | Bologna FC · at home | Sassuolo Calcio · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–1 | 0–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.78 | 2.71 |
| xG against per match | 0.63 | 0.89 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| Corners per match | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 15.03.2026 Sassuolo Calcio 0:1 Bologna FC
- 28.12.2025 Bologna FC 1:1 Sassuolo Calcio
- 03.02.2024 Bologna FC 4:2 Sassuolo Calcio
- 28.10.2023 Sassuolo Calcio 1:1 Bologna FC
- 08.05.2023 Sassuolo Calcio 1:1 Bologna FC
- 12.11.2022 Bologna FC 3:0 Sassuolo Calcio
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Bologna FC enter this Serie A meeting with a slight but meaningful edge over Sassuolo Calcio. The assessment points toward a medium-scoring contest, suggesting neither side is expected to dominate the match completely. Bologna FC should have the stronger platform overall, particularly in a game where maintaining control and limiting transitions could be important.
The attacking outlook remains balanced. Both teams scoring is considered difficult to separate, so the match could develop in more than one direction depending on which side makes better use of its opportunities. Bologna FC have the clearer result advantage, but the profile also leaves room for Sassuolo Calcio to stay competitive and take something from the contest. Overall, the outlook favours Bologna FC, while a draw remains a credible alternative in what should be a relatively even encounter.
What matters before kick-off
Early season form
Bologna started their Serie A campaign with consecutive 1-0 defeats to Lazio and Atalanta. Sassuolo bounced back from an opening 2-1 loss against Atalanta by beating Torino 2-1 in the league and progressing past Frosinone on penalties in the Coppa Italia.
Head-to-head record
Bologna are unbeaten in their last six Serie A encounters against Sassuolo, recording three wins and three draws.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.