ACF Fiorentina — Torino FC: Win probabilities, 05.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 76.1% |
| 12 | 71.0% | |
| X2 | 52.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.5% / 42.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.6% / 8.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.3% / 20.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 53.1% / 46.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 30.9% / 69.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 15.3% / 84.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.5% / 93.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 05.09.2026
ACF Fiorentina
20th place · 0 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 home Frosinone 0:3
- 24.08.2026 away Roma 0:4
- 22.05.2026 home Atalanta 1:1
- 17.05.2026 away Juventus 2:0
- 10.05.2026 home Genoa 0:0
Torino FC
14th place · 0 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 away Sassuolo 1:2
- 23.08.2026 home Milan 1:2
- 24.05.2026 home Juventus 2:2
- 17.05.2026 away Cagliari 1:2
- 08.05.2026 home Sassuolo 2:1
This season: ACF Fiorentina at home vs Torino FC away
| Metric | ACF Fiorentina · at home | Torino FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–1 | 0–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.90 | 1.26 |
| xG against per match | 1.09 | 1.84 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| Corners per match | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 07.02.2026 ACF Fiorentina 2:2 Torino FC
- 31.08.2025 Torino FC 0:0 ACF Fiorentina
- 19.01.2025 ACF Fiorentina 1:1 Torino FC
- 03.11.2024 Torino FC 0:1 ACF Fiorentina
- 02.03.2024 Torino FC 0:0 ACF Fiorentina
- 29.12.2023 ACF Fiorentina 1:0 Torino FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
ACF Fiorentina have a slight edge over Torino FC in this Serie A matchup, with the assessment leaning toward the home side avoiding defeat. The overall signal supports a home win or draw, although the balance is not so one-sided that Torino FC can be discounted. The outlook is best described as a high-confidence slight advantage for ACF Fiorentina rather than a decisive prediction.
The expected scoring environment is medium-scoring, with both teams scoring judged to be evenly balanced. That leaves several plausible paths through the match: a 1-1 draw remains a strong possibility, while 2-1 and 2-0 represent the main home-success scenarios. Overall, ACF Fiorentina appear marginally better placed, but Torino FC retain a realistic chance of taking a result if they keep the contest close.
What matters before kick-off
Winless Start to the Season
Fiorentina and Torino enter their Serie A matchday 3 fixture following back-to-back defeats in their opening two league games.
Torino Knocked Out of Coppa Italia
Heading into this Serie A encounter, Torino were eliminated from the Coppa Italia following a 1-0 loss to Monza.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.