Genoa CFC — Como 1907: Win probabilities, 04.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 41.9% |
| 12 | 73.6% | |
| X2 | 84.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 51.2% / 48.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.5% / 8.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 77.5% / 22.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 51.2% / 48.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 29.1% / 70.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.1% / 85.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.9% / 94.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 04.09.2026
Genoa CFC
16th place · 0 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 away Lazio 0:1
- 22.08.2026 home Napoli 0:2
- 24.05.2026 away Lecce 0:1
- 17.05.2026 home Milan 1:2
- 10.05.2026 away Fiorentina 0:0
Como 1907
8th place · 4 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 away Napoli 2:1
- 22.08.2026 away Udinese 1:1
- 24.05.2026 away Cremonese 4:1
- 17.05.2026 home Parma 1:0
- 10.05.2026 away Verona 1:0
This season: Genoa CFC at home vs Como 1907 away
| Metric | Genoa CFC · at home | Como 1907 · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–1 | 1–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.67 | 1.27 |
| xG against per match | 0.77 | 1.75 |
| Shots on target per match | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| Corners per match | 5.00 | 8.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 26.04.2026 Genoa CFC 0:2 Como 1907
- 15.09.2025 Como 1907 1:1 Genoa CFC
- 27.04.2025 Como 1907 1:0 Genoa CFC
- 07.11.2024 Genoa CFC 1:1 Como 1907
- 10.04.2023 Como 1907 2:2 Genoa CFC
- 13.11.2022 Genoa CFC 1:1 Como 1907
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Genoa CFC host Como 1907 in Serie A on 4 September 2026, with the available assessment pointing to a slight edge for the visitors. The confidence level is low, so the matchup appears more competitive than a straightforward away recommendation would suggest. Como 1907 may have the stronger overall position in the forecast, but Genoa CFC remain capable of keeping the contest close on home ground.
The game is projected to be medium-scoring, while both teams scoring is considered an evenly balanced possibility. That leaves several plausible paths: a closely contested 1:1 draw, or a narrower Como 1907 victory such as 0:1, with 0:2 also among the listed score scenarios. The central expectation is therefore a match with room for an away success, but without enough certainty to dismiss a draw or Genoa CFC resistance.
What matters before kick-off
Head-to-head history
Genoa and Como 1907 have met 33 times across Serie A, Serie B and the Coppa Italia, with Genoa winning 10 matches, Como 9, and 14 ending in draws.
Match and ticket info
The Matchday 3 Serie A fixture between Genoa and Como is scheduled for Friday, September 4, 2026, at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris in Genoa.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.