Udinese Calcio — AS Roma: Win probabilities, 31.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
15.8%
Home win
Udinese Calcio
X
22.9%
Draw
W2
61.3%
Away win
AS Roma
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
X284.2%
Both teams to score
Yes57.5%
Totals 2.5
Over60.7%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 38.7% |
| 12 | 77.1% | |
| X2 | 84.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.5% / 42.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.3% / 5.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.4% / 16.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 60.7% / 39.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 38.3% / 61.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 20.8% / 79.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.8% / 90.2% |
Goal distribution model
Udinese Calcio × AS Roma
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.7%
0:1
7.8%
0:2
9.8%
0:3
6.9%
0:4
3.7%
0:5
1.6%
1
1:0
3.0%
1:1
10.7%
1:2
9.9%
1:3
7.0%
1:4
3.7%
1:5
1.6%
2
2:0
2.2%
2:1
4.7%
2:2
5.0%
2:3
3.6%
2:4
1.9%
2:5
0.8%
3
3:0
0.8%
3:1
1.6%
3:2
1.7%
3:3
1.2%
3:4
0.6%
3:5
0.3%
4
4:0
0.2%
4:1
0.4%
4:2
0.4%
4:3
0.3%
4:4
0.2%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0.0%
5:1
0.1%
5:2
0.1%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:110.7%
1:29.9%
0:29.8%
0:17.8%
1:37.0%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 31.10.2026
Udinese Calcio
17th place · 4 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 home Milan 0:2
- 18.10.2026 home Lecce 0:3
- 12.10.2026 away Torino 1:2
- 19.09.2026 home Cagliari 0:1
- 14.09.2026 away Inter 3:5
AS Roma
3rd place · 21 pts after 9Last 5 matches · latest first
- 27.10.2026 home Cagliari 4:2
- 24.10.2026 away Napoli 3:3
- 17.10.2026 home Genoa 2:0
- 11.10.2026 away Como 0:0
- 19.09.2026 home Inter 2:2
This season: Udinese Calcio at home vs AS Roma away
| Metric | Udinese Calcio · at home | AS Roma · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–4 | 2–2–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.40 | 2.25 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.80 | 0.75 |
| xG for per match | 1.23 | 2.04 |
| xG against per match | 2.31 | 1.37 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.20 | 4.75 |
| Corners per match | 5.00 | 5.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 25% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Udinese Calcio wins1
Draws0
AS Roma wins5
Goals per match2.67
Both teams scored3/6
Over 2.5 goals4/6
- 02.02.2026 Udinese Calcio 1:0 AS Roma
- 09.11.2025 AS Roma 2:0 Udinese Calcio
- 26.01.2025 Udinese Calcio 1:2 AS Roma
- 22.09.2024 AS Roma 3:0 Udinese Calcio
- 25.04.2024 Udinese Calcio 1:2 AS Roma
- 26.11.2023 AS Roma 3:1 Udinese Calcio
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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