Match intelligence

Frosinone Calcio — Torino FC: Win probabilities, 01.11.2026

League: Serie A (Italy) · Kick-off:

Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 44.0% Home win Frosinone Calcio
X 25.3% Draw
W2 30.7% Away win Torino FC
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1274.7%
Both teams to score
Yes66.6%
Totals 2.5
Over64.7%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X69.3%
1274.7%
X256.0%
Both teams to scoreYes/No66.6% / 33.4%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 95.1% / 4.9%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 85.8% / 14.2%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 64.7% / 35.3%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 42.7% / 57.3%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 24.3% / 75.7%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 12.1% / 87.9%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

Frosinone Calcio × Torino FC
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 4.9%
0:1 4.1%
0:2 4.1%
0:3 2.0%
0:4 0.8%
0:5 0.2%
1
1:0 5.2%
1:1 11.2%
1:2 7.4%
1:3 3.7%
1:4 1.4%
1:5 0.4%
2
2:0 5.9%
2:1 9.0%
2:2 6.8%
2:3 3.4%
2:4 1.3%
2:5 0.4%
3
3:0 3.6%
3:1 5.4%
3:2 4.1%
3:3 2.1%
3:4 0.8%
3:5 0.2%
4
4:0 1.6%
4:1 2.5%
4:2 1.9%
4:3 0.9%
4:4 0.4%
4:5 0.1%
5
5:0 0.6%
5:1 0.9%
5:2 0.7%
5:3 0.3%
5:4 0.1%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:111.2%
2:19.0%
1:27.4%
2:26.8%
2:05.9%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 01.11.2026

Frosinone Calcio

6th place · 14 pts after 8

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 25.10.2026 away Atalanta 4:4
  • 16.10.2026 home Sassuolo 4:2
  • 10.10.2026 away Napoli 0:3
  • 20.09.2026 home Como 2:0
  • 12.09.2026 away Genoa 1:1

Torino FC

8th place · 13 pts after 9

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 27.10.2026 home Como 1:3
  • 23.10.2026 home Monza 3:2
  • 19.10.2026 away Parma 3:0
  • 12.10.2026 home Udinese 2:1
  • 19.09.2026 away Bologna 1:1

This season: Frosinone Calcio at home vs Torino FC away

Metric Frosinone Calcio · at home Torino FC · away
Matches44
W–D–L3–0–12–1–1
Goals scored per match2.251.75
Goals conceded per match1.251.00
xG for per match1.641.08
xG against per match2.101.46
Shots on target per match6.503.50
Corners per match5.004.00
Over 2.5 goals50%75%
Both teams scored50%75%

Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings

Frosinone Calcio wins0
Draws2
Torino FC wins0
Goals per match0.00
Both teams scored0/2
Over 2.5 goals0/2
  • 21.04.2024 Torino FC 0:0 Frosinone Calcio
  • 10.12.2023 Frosinone Calcio 0:0 Torino FC

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

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