Juventus Turin — SSC Napoli: Win probabilities, 01.11.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
53.2%
Home win
Juventus Turin
X
25.3%
Draw
W2
21.5%
Away win
SSC Napoli
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X78.5%
Both teams to score
Yes53.3%
Totals 2.5
Over51.7%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 78.5% |
| 12 | 74.7% | |
| X2 | 46.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.3% / 46.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.8% / 7.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 76.7% / 23.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 51.7% / 48.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 29.6% / 70.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.4% / 85.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.0% / 94.0% |
Goal distribution model
Juventus Turin × SSC Napoli
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.2%
0:1
5.8%
0:2
3.3%
0:3
1.1%
0:4
0.3%
0:5
0.1%
1
1:0
10.3%
1:1
12.1%
1:2
5.7%
1:3
1.9%
1:4
0.5%
1:5
0.1%
2
2:0
9.6%
2:1
9.8%
2:2
5.0%
2:3
1.7%
2:4
0.4%
2:5
0.1%
3
3:0
5.5%
3:1
5.6%
3:2
2.9%
3:3
1.0%
3:4
0.2%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
2.4%
4:1
2.4%
4:2
1.2%
4:3
0.4%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.8%
5:1
0.8%
5:2
0.4%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:112.1%
1:010.3%
2:19.8%
2:09.6%
0:07.2%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 01.11.2026
Juventus Turin
7th place · 14 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 away Lecce 2:0
- 18.10.2026 home Lazio 0:3
- 11.10.2026 away Cagliari 1:1
- 20.09.2026 home Atalanta 2:0
- 13.09.2026 away Sassuolo 2:3
SSC Napoli
10th place · 11 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 home Roma 3:3
- 17.10.2026 away Venezia 0:1
- 10.10.2026 home Frosinone 3:0
- 20.09.2026 away Fiorentina 1:1
- 13.09.2026 home Bologna 1:0
This season: Juventus Turin at home vs SSC Napoli away
| Metric | Juventus Turin · at home | SSC Napoli · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 2–1–1 | 1–1–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| xG for per match | 1.34 | 1.74 |
| xG against per match | 0.38 | 1.66 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.50 | 6.50 |
| Corners per match | 6.50 | 6.75 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Juventus Turin wins2
Draws1
SSC Napoli wins3
Goals per match2.17
Both teams scored3/6
Over 2.5 goals4/6
- 25.01.2026 Juventus Turin 3:0 SSC Napoli
- 07.12.2025 SSC Napoli 2:1 Juventus Turin
- 25.01.2025 SSC Napoli 2:1 Juventus Turin
- 21.09.2024 Juventus Turin 0:0 SSC Napoli
- 03.03.2024 SSC Napoli 2:1 Juventus Turin
- 08.12.2023 Juventus Turin 1:0 SSC Napoli
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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