Como 1907 — Venezia FC: Win probabilities, 01.11.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
73.1%
Home win
Como 1907
X
16.5%
Draw
W2
10.4%
Away win
Venezia FC
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X89.6%
Both teams to score
Yes58.3%
Totals 2.5
Over70.6%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 89.6% |
| 12 | 83.5% | |
| X2 | 26.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 58.3% / 41.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.8% / 3.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 88.5% / 11.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 70.6% / 29.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 49.5% / 50.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 30.3% / 69.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 16.2% / 83.8% |
Goal distribution model
Como 1907 × Venezia FC
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.2%
0:1
1.9%
0:2
1.2%
0:3
0.4%
0:4
0.1%
0:5
0.0%
1
1:0
6.4%
1:1
7.4%
1:2
3.2%
1:3
1.0%
1:4
0.3%
1:5
0.0%
2
2:0
9.4%
2:1
9.0%
2:2
4.4%
2:3
1.4%
2:4
0.3%
2:5
0.1%
3
3:0
8.4%
3:1
8.1%
3:2
3.9%
3:3
1.3%
3:4
0.3%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
5.6%
4:1
5.4%
4:2
2.6%
4:3
0.8%
4:4
0.2%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
3.0%
5:1
2.9%
5:2
1.4%
5:3
0.5%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
2:09.4%
2:19.0%
3:08.4%
3:18.1%
1:17.4%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 01.11.2026
Como 1907
4th place · 20 pts after 9Last 5 matches · latest first
- 27.10.2026 away Torino 3:1
- 24.10.2026 home Sassuolo 2:0
- 18.10.2026 away Fiorentina 3:1
- 11.10.2026 home Roma 0:0
- 20.09.2026 away Frosinone 0:2
Venezia FC
20th place · 3 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 away Genoa 0:1
- 17.10.2026 home Napoli 1:0
- 12.10.2026 away Atalanta 1:3
- 19.09.2026 home Lazio 0:2
- 11.09.2026 home Fiorentina 2:4
This season: Como 1907 at home vs Venezia FC away
| Metric | Como 1907 · at home | Venezia FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 2–1–0 | 0–0–4 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.33 | 0.75 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.33 | 2.25 |
| xG for per match | 2.22 | 1.90 |
| xG against per match | 0.88 | 1.63 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.67 | 3.75 |
| Corners per match | 7.67 | 5.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Como 1907 wins2
Draws2
Venezia FC wins2
Goals per match3.00
Both teams scored4/6
Over 2.5 goals4/6
- 08.03.2025 Como 1907 1:1 Venezia FC
- 08.12.2024 Venezia FC 2:2 Como 1907
- 03.03.2024 Como 1907 2:1 Venezia FC
- 20.08.2023 Venezia FC 3:0 Como 1907
- 01.04.2023 Venezia FC 3:2 Como 1907
- 06.11.2022 Como 1907 1:0 Venezia FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Check current terms · 1WIN18+
Bonus up to $500
Sports betting, live markets and mobile app. Available only to users of legal gambling age in eligible regions.
Check available odds ↗
Other matches
Tools
Check the numbers before deciding
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.