Trabzonspor — Istanbul Basaksehir: Win probabilities, 23.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 74.6% |
| 12 | 75.7% | |
| X2 | 49.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 62.6% / 37.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.9% / 5.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.6% / 16.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 61.7% / 38.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 39.4% / 60.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 21.7% / 78.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.4% / 89.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 23.08.2026
Trabzonspor
13th place · 1 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 15.08.2026 away Kasimpasa 1:1
- 17.05.2026 home Genclerbirligi 0:3
- 09.05.2026 away Besiktas 2:1
- 02.05.2026 home Goztep 1:1
- 27.04.2026 away Konyaspor 1:2
Istanbul Basaksehir
5th place · 3 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.08.2026 home Kocaelispor 2:0
- 16.05.2026 away Gaziantep 2:1
- 09.05.2026 home Samsunspor 3:0
- 02.05.2026 away Fenerbahce 1:3
- 24.04.2026 home Kasimpasa 4:0
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 19.04.2026 Trabzonspor 1:1 Istanbul Basaksehir
- 24.11.2025 Istanbul Basaksehir 3:4 Trabzonspor
- 15.03.2025 Istanbul Basaksehir 0:3 Trabzonspor
- 19.10.2024 Trabzonspor 1:0 Istanbul Basaksehir
- 18.05.2024 Istanbul Basaksehir 0:1 Trabzonspor
- 23.12.2023 Trabzonspor 1:1 Istanbul Basaksehir
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Trabzonspor enter this Super Lig meeting with a slight edge over Istanbul Basaksehir, although the assessment points to a competitive contest rather than a one-sided occasion. The home side’s advantage is supported by the stronger overall signal, but the margin between the teams remains narrow enough for the visitors to stay firmly in contention.
The match is expected to have an open attacking character, with both Trabzonspor and Istanbul Basaksehir likely to find opportunities in front of goal. That combination suggests a game in which defensive control may be difficult to maintain for either side. Trabzonspor appear better placed to avoid defeat, while a draw remains a realistic outcome if Istanbul Basaksehir make effective use of their chances.
What matters before kick-off
Trabzonspor league opener
Trabzonspor opened their new Süper Lig season with a 1-1 away draw against Kasimpasa.
Istanbul Basaksehir winning start
Istanbul Basaksehir made a winning start to the Süper Lig campaign, defeating Kocaelispor 2-0 at home.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.